Rainfall is one of the most important triggers of slope failure. Weathered pyroclastic (tephra) 2 deposits are especially vulnerable to slope failure because they commonly form slopes of high 3 porosity and high clay content. Empirically-derived thresholds for the triggering of landslides 4 are commonly based on rainfall conditions and have been widely applied in volcanic soils. However, so far only few researchers utilized pore water pressure in the slope as additional variable for the threshold calibration. Here we derived a new rainfall threshold for initiating the 7 decrease in effective stress in the slope by analyzing a long-term record of rainfall and piezom-8 eter data from a slide-prone coastal area in northern New Zealand that consists of clayey, hal-9 loysitic tephra deposits. The level of effective stress decrease increases with rainfall intensity 10 and duration. We observed highest effective stress decrease of up to 36 % during rainfall events 11 that triggered landslides in our study area. The effective stress threshold exhibits a satisfactory 12 predictive capability. The probability of correctly predicting a decrease in effective stress is 13 53 %. The effective stress threshold contributes towards the implementation of the decrease in 14 effective stress into rainfall thresholds for the occurrence of landslides.