Abstract:This paper studies the role of unemployment insurance in a sticky-price model that features an efficiency-wage view of the labor market based on unobservable effort. The risk-sharing mechanism central to the model permits, but does not force, agents to be fully insured. Structural parameters are estimated using a maximum-likelihood procedure on US data. Formal hypothesis tests reveal that the data favor a model in which agents only partially insure each other against employment risk. The results also show that… Show more
“…These similarities emerge because partial insurance, through its influence on the wage-setting process, actually bolsters the amount of endogenous price rigidity in the model. So even though the frequency of price changes is the same, the magnitude of those changes are smaller under partial insurance (e.g., Givens 2008;Givens, 2011). And like increases in the exogenous length of price fixity, this works to moderate the impact of spending shocks on inflation (see also Figure 8).…”
I interpret the empirical evidence on government spending multipliers using an equilibrium model of unemployment in which workers are not fully insured against the risk of job loss. Consumption of resources by the government affects aggregate spending along two margins: (i) an intensive margin owing to a fall in household wealth and (ii) an extensive margin that accounts for growth in the working population. At insurance levels below a certain threshold, the positive effects of (ii) dominate the negative effects of (i), leading to multipliers for private consumption and output that exceed zero and one. Similar results appear in a quantitative version of the model scaled to match estimates from micro data on the consumption cost of unemployment.
“…These similarities emerge because partial insurance, through its influence on the wage-setting process, actually bolsters the amount of endogenous price rigidity in the model. So even though the frequency of price changes is the same, the magnitude of those changes are smaller under partial insurance (e.g., Givens 2008;Givens, 2011). And like increases in the exogenous length of price fixity, this works to moderate the impact of spending shocks on inflation (see also Figure 8).…”
I interpret the empirical evidence on government spending multipliers using an equilibrium model of unemployment in which workers are not fully insured against the risk of job loss. Consumption of resources by the government affects aggregate spending along two margins: (i) an intensive margin owing to a fall in household wealth and (ii) an extensive margin that accounts for growth in the working population. At insurance levels below a certain threshold, the positive effects of (ii) dominate the negative effects of (i), leading to multipliers for private consumption and output that exceed zero and one. Similar results appear in a quantitative version of the model scaled to match estimates from micro data on the consumption cost of unemployment.
“…As in Givens (2011), insurance premiums take the form , where determines the replacement rate. Notice here that is exogenous by design.…”
Section: A Simple Model With Fixed Capitalmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…That is because partial insurance, through its influence on the wage‐setting process, actually bolsters the amount of endogenous price rigidity in the model. So even though the frequency of price changes is the same, the magnitude of those changes are much smaller (e.g., Givens, 2008, 2011). And like increases in exogenous rigidity, this works to moderate the impact of spending shocks on inflation (see also Figure 8).…”
Section: Some Extensions and Quantitative Examplesmentioning
I interpret the empirical evidence on government spending multipliers using an equilibrium model of unemployment in which workers are not fully insured against the risk of job loss. Consumption of resources by the government affects aggregate spending along two margins: (i) an intensive margin owing to a fall in household wealth and (ii) an extensive margin that accounts for growth in the working population. At insurance levels below a certain threshold, the positive effects of (ii) dominate the negative effects of (i), leading to multipliers for private consumption and output that exceed zero and one. Similar results appear in a quantitative version of the model scaled to match estimates from micro data on the consumption cost of unemployment.
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