2021
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-99587-0
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Unraveling the complexity of human behavior and urbanization on community vulnerability to floods

Abstract: Floods are among the costliest natural hazards and their consequences are expected to increase further in the future due to urbanization in flood-prone areas. It is essential that policymakers understand the factors governing the dynamics of urbanization to adopt proper disaster risk reduction techniques. Peoples’ relocation preferences and their perception of flood risk (collectively called human behavior) are among the most important factors that influence urbanization in flood-prone areas. Current studies f… Show more

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Cited by 27 publications
(13 citation statements)
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“…Since reported basin-wide losses are not normalized to consider the effect of rising exposure, we also investigated how using normalized rather than absolute losses affects these correlation values. As coastal communities experience population growth and economic development (Hemmati et al 2020(Hemmati et al , 2021a(Hemmati et al , 2021b, the same TC can be expected to cause more significant losses now, in general, than if it occurred in the past. Since normalized losses for the whole North Atlantic basin are not available, and the U.S. reported losses constitute 93.5% of the total North Atlantic Basin's losses (EM-DAT), we performed the Spearman rank correlation using the normalized U.S. historical losses from (Weinkle et al 2018) as well as absolute U.S. historical losses from EM-DAT.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Since reported basin-wide losses are not normalized to consider the effect of rising exposure, we also investigated how using normalized rather than absolute losses affects these correlation values. As coastal communities experience population growth and economic development (Hemmati et al 2020(Hemmati et al , 2021a(Hemmati et al , 2021b, the same TC can be expected to cause more significant losses now, in general, than if it occurred in the past. Since normalized losses for the whole North Atlantic basin are not available, and the U.S. reported losses constitute 93.5% of the total North Atlantic Basin's losses (EM-DAT), we performed the Spearman rank correlation using the normalized U.S. historical losses from (Weinkle et al 2018) as well as absolute U.S. historical losses from EM-DAT.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Such data are known to exhibit significant uncertainties, especially when performing risk assessments for future conditions (Bates, 2012;Bubeck et al, 2011;Freni et al, 2010;Lehman & Nafari, 2016;Villarini et al, 2020;Wasko et al, 2021;Wing et al, 2020). One of the challenges is that exposure and vulnerability data for the future are driven by complex human behavior, particularly in urban spaces (Hemmati et al, 2021). For example, future projections of urbanization and infrastructure growth, increase in human adaptive capacity, change in human behavior, and improvements in hazard forecasting are not readily available.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…These past studies include comparing alternate treatment approaches to reduce the burden of PTSD after a natural disaster (Cohen et al, 2017), understanding posthurricane access to primary care services (Guclu et al, 2016), and investigating the role of social support in ameliorating mental health effects of mass trauma exposure (Tracy et al, 2012). Since ABM can provide insight into population behavior that is difficult to predict from individual-level properties, this approach is also frequently used in disaster preparedness efforts, including evacuation planning (e.g., Epstein et al, 2011; Nakanishi et al, 2020) and identifying strategies to reduce community vulnerability to flooding (e.g., Hemmati et al, 2021).…”
Section: Overview Of Agent-based Modelingmentioning
confidence: 99%