2002
DOI: 10.1016/s0304-3800(02)00013-3
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Untangling a Holocene pollen record with forest model simulations and independent climate data

Abstract: Adaptation potential of forests to rapid climatic changes can be assessed from vegetation dynamics during past climatic changes as preserved in fossil pollen data. However, pollen data reflect the integrated effects of climate and biotic processes, such as establishment, survival, competition, and migration. To disentangle these processes, we compared an annually laminated late Wü rm and Holocene pollen record from the Central Swiss Plateau with simulations of a dynamic forest patch model. All input data used … Show more

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Cited by 37 publications
(25 citation statements)
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“…Composition can also be predicted (most successfully in terms of plant functional types, PFTs) using process-based modelling (see e.g. Lischke et al 2002;Koca et al 2006;Miller et al 2008), which is independent of either surface samples or species distributions.…”
Section: Principlesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Composition can also be predicted (most successfully in terms of plant functional types, PFTs) using process-based modelling (see e.g. Lischke et al 2002;Koca et al 2006;Miller et al 2008), which is independent of either surface samples or species distributions.…”
Section: Principlesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The late expansion of some tree species can be linked: (a) to their migration rate in relation to their own dispersion mechanisms such as reproduction or seed scattering and with their competencies to develop on more or less mature soils, (b) to the distance to the glacial refugial zone, (c) to the interspecific competition, (d) to the individual response of each species to climatic change, and (e) also to the direct effect of the climate (Huntley and Webb, 1989;Huntley, 1996). Climate can also play an indirect role in changing the interspecific relationships (Lischke et al, 2002). Small differences in climatic conditions at the beginning of a warm phase can also influence the development of the late expanding trees (i.e.…”
Section: Forest Successionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…But equilibrium assumptions become misleading when applied to high-resolution data of the most severe climate shifts. A few researchers have considered the transient dynamics following a climate change or other disturbance (e.g., Davis 1986;Lischke et al 2002;Bergman et al 2005;Peros et al 2008), but these interpretations are uncommon.…”
Section: Equilibrium Assumptionsmentioning
confidence: 99%