Earth’s climate sensitivity depends on how shallow clouds in the trades
respond to changes in the large-scale tropical circulation with warming.
In all theory for this cloud-circulation coupling, it is assumed that
the clouds are controlled by the field of vertical motion on horizontal
scales larger than the convection’s depth (~1 km). Yet
this assumption has been challenged both by recent in-situ observations,
and idealised large-eddy simulations (LESs). Here, we therefore bring
together the recent observations, new analysis from satellite data, and
a forty-day, large-domain (1600 x 900 km2) LES of the North Atlantic
from the 2020 EUREC4A field campaign, in search of new explanations for
the interaction between shallow convection and vertical motions, on
scales between 10-1000 km (mesoscales). Across all datasets, the shallow
mesoscale vertical motions are consistently represented, ubiquitous,
frequently organised into circulations, and formed without imprinting
themselves on the mesoscale buoyancy field. This allows us to employ the
weak-temperature gradient approximation, which shows that between at
least 12.5-400 km scales, the vertical motion balances heating
fluctuations in groups of precipitating shallow cumuli. That is, across
the mesoscales, shallow convection controls the vertical motion in the
trades, and does not simply adjust to it. In turn, the mesoscale
convective heating patterns appear to consistently grow through
moisture-convection feedback. Therefore, to represent and understand the
cloud-circulation coupling of trade cumuli, the full range of scales
between the synoptics and the hectometre must be included in our
conceptual and numerical models.