Upstream decarbonization through a carbon takeback obligation: An affordable backstop climate policy

Jenkins, Stuart; Mitchell-Larson, Eli; Haszeldine, Stuart; Allen, Myles

doi:10.1016/j.joule.2021.10.012

Cited by 41 publications

(30 citation statements)

References 37 publications

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“…Discounting makes a large difference in absolute outcomes, but maybe less so in relative outcomes. Diesel comes out worst, without CCS, but policies requiring CCS are possible (Jenkins et al, 2021). Upstream emissions are relatively higher in the BEV case, see their Figures 2, 3 (Pigné et al, 2020).…”

Section: Type 5 Multi Periods and Futures Classic No Time Sequence Mu...mentioning

confidence: 96%

Forecasting the Future Sustainability of Technology Choices: Qualitative Predictive Validity of Models as a Complement to Quantitative Uncertainty

Huppes

Schaubroeck

2022

Front. Sustain.

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To support product and technology choices toward a more sustainable future, diverse assessment methods are used, involving life cycle assessment (LCA). This raises the question of their predictive validity. Whereas, many studies focus on quantitative uncertainty, here the main aim is to address the complementary qualitative aspect of the LCA-related model variants. To that end, we first specify three general influential aspects: (1) future conditions, (2) needed predictivity, and (3) mechanism coverage. These have been translated into a more concrete checklist for qualitative predictive validity. Second, we categorized the model variants into a limited number of basic model types, based on five predefined modeling characteristics. These model types show increasingly complex steps for investigating the future, illustrated with energy systems for transport. Different answers to the same questions may result. With increasing model complexity, the relevant questions may change from analysing specific products, to more general product systems, and next to product-technology domain systems. As a third step, the qualitative predictive validity of the nine modeling types is evaluated using the developed checklist. All have limited predictive validity, increasingly so for longer time horizons, as they lack most causal mechanisms, especially the institutional drivers for development and employment of technologies to emerge. Also, the future is only partially determined. For supporting choices, the conclusion is that the comparative analysis regarding long-term also broader product-technology systems has limited predictive validity. As a solution, conditional statements may show directions for explorative analysis resulting in highly tentative advice on potentially attractive directions.

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Section: Type 5 Multi Periods and Futures Classic No Time Sequence Mu...mentioning

confidence: 96%

Forecasting the Future Sustainability of Technology Choices: Qualitative Predictive Validity of Models as a Complement to Quantitative Uncertainty

Huppes

Schaubroeck

2022

Front. Sustain.

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“…23 In fact, recent studies advocated the near-term emergency deployment of DAC plants even under the current energy supply system to gain knowledge about lowering the operating costs. 24,25 They suggested that large amounts of CO 2 can be removed by DAC, totaling 2.2-2.3, 13-20, and 17-27 Gt year À1 in the years 2050, 2075, and 2100, respectively. It is highly encouraged that the carbon price trajectory is high initially with a moderate rise to avoid excessive carbon removal; but still retaining substantial NET requirements (e.g., 4 Gt year À1 in 2050 and 410 Gt year À1 in 2100).…”

Section: Xuancan Zhu Is An Assistantmentioning

confidence: 99%

Recent advances in direct air capture by adsorption

et al. 2022

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“…[2] Some envision other applications such as using carbon to produce materials that effectively "store" the carbon, such as steel replacements [3] (see footnote). 1 The challenge of implementing Extended Producer Responsibility in the oil and gas industry is huge. However, it is not insurmountable.…”

Section: Extended Producer Responsibility In the Oil And Gas Industrymentioning

confidence: 99%

Getting to net zero through extended producer responsibility

Helferty

2022

J Adv Manuf & Process

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The application of Extended Producer Responsibility, including for greenhouse gases, to manufacturing broadly would go a long way toward enabling society to meet its net zero goals. Within the oil and gas industry, this could be achieved by phasing‐in a Carbon Takeback Obligation. American leadership in applying Extended Producer Responsibility to include greenhouse gases could both reduce U.S. emissions and help drive other countries to do so.

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Upstream decarbonization through a carbon takeback obligation: An affordable backstop climate policy

Cited by 41 publications

References 37 publications

Forecasting the Future Sustainability of Technology Choices: Qualitative Predictive Validity of Models as a Complement to Quantitative Uncertainty

Forecasting the Future Sustainability of Technology Choices: Qualitative Predictive Validity of Models as a Complement to Quantitative Uncertainty

Recent advances in direct air capture by adsorption

Getting to net zero through extended producer responsibility

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