Upwind flight partially explains the migratory routes of locust swarms

Sorel, Maeva; Gay, Pierre-Emmanuel; Vernier, Camille; Cissé, Sory; Piou, Cyril

doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110622

Ecological Modelling

2024

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110622

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Upwind flight partially explains the migratory routes of locust swarms

Maeva Sorel,

Pierre-Emmanuel Gay,

Camille Vernier

et al.

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A framework for modelling desert locust population dynamics and large-scale dispersal

Retkute,

Thurston,

Cressman

et al. 2024

PLoS Comput Biol

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There is an urgent need for mathematical models that can be used to inform the deployment of surveillance, early warning and management systems for transboundary pest invasions. This is especially important for desert locust, one of the most dangerous migratory pests for smallholder farmers. During periods of desert locust upsurges and plagues, gregarious adult locusts form into swarms that are capable of long-range dispersal. Here we introduce a novel integrated modelling framework for use in predicting gregarious locust populations. The framework integrates the selection of breeding sites, maturation through egg, hopper and adult stages and swarm dispersal in search of areas suitable for feeding and breeding. Using a combination of concepts from epidemiological modelling, weather and environment data, together with an atmospheric transport model for swarm movement we provide a tool to forecast short- and long-term swarm movements. A principal aim of the framework is to provide a practical starting point for use in the next upsurge.

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A framework for modelling desert locust population dynamics and large-scale dispersal

Retkute,

Thurston,

Cressman

et al. 2024

PLoS Comput Biol

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

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Upwind flight partially explains the migratory routes of locust swarms

Cited by 1 publication

References 46 publications

A framework for modelling desert locust population dynamics and large-scale dispersal

A framework for modelling desert locust population dynamics and large-scale dispersal

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