Background
Pharmaceutical companies and other trial sponsors must submit certain trial results to ClinicalTrials.gov. The validity of these results is unclear.
Purpose
To validate results posted on ClinicalTrials.gov against publicly-available FDA reviews on Drugs@FDA.
Data sources
ClinicalTrials.gov (registry and results database) and Drugs@FDA (medical/statistical reviews).
Study selection
100 parallel-group, randomized trials for new drug approvals (1/2013 – 7/2014) with results posted on ClinicalTrials.gov (3/15/2015).
Data extraction
Two assessors systematically extracted, and another verified, trial design, primary/secondary outcomes, adverse events, and deaths.
Results
The 100 trials were mostly phase 3 (90%) double-blind (92%), placebo-controlled (73%), representing 32 drugs from 24 companies. Of 137 primary outcomes from ClinicalTrials.gov, 134 (98%) had corresponding data in Drugs@FDA, 130 (95%) had concordant definitions, and 107 (78%) had concordant results; most differences were nominal (i.e. relative difference < 10%). Of 100 trials, primary outcome results in 14 could not be validated . Of 1,927 secondary outcomes from ClinicalTrials.gov, 1,061 (55%) definitions could be validated and 367 (19%) had results. Of 96 trials with ≥ 1 serious adverse event in either source, 14 could be compared and 7 were discordant. Of 62 trials with ≥ 1 death in either source, 25 could be compared and 17 were discordant.
Limitations
Unknown generalizability to uncontrolled or crossover trial results.
Conclusion
Primary outcome definitions and results were largely concordant between ClinicalTrials.gov and Drugs@FDA. Half of secondary outcomes could not be validated because Drugs@FDA only includes “key outcomes” for regulatory decision-making; nor could serious adverse events and deaths because Drugs@FDA frequently only includes results aggregated across multiple trials.