Accurate efficient estimation of actual and potential species distribution is a critical requirement for effective ecosystem-based management and marine protected area design. In this study we tested the applicability of a terrestrial landscape modeling technique in a marine environment for predicting the distribution of ecologically and economically important groundfish, using 3 species of rockfish at Cordell Bank National Marine Sanctuary (CBNMS) as a model system. Autoclassification of multibeam bathymetry along with georeferenced submersible video transect data of the seafloor and demersal fishes were used to model the abundance and distribution of rockfish. Generalized linear models (GLMs) were created using habitat classification analyses of high-resolution (3 m) digital elevation models combined with fish presence/absence observations. Model accuracy was assessed using a reserved subset of the observation data. The resulting probability of occurrence models generated at 3 m resolution for the entire 120 km 2 study area proved reliable in predicting the distribution of all the species. The accuracies of the models for Sebastes rosaceus, S. flavidus and S. elongatus were 96, 92 and 92%, respectively. The probability of occurrence of S. flavidus and S. rosaceus was highest in the high relief rocky areas and lowest in the low relief, soft sediment areas. The model for S. elongatus had an opposite pattern, with the highest predicted probability of occurrence taking place in the low relief, soft sediment areas and a lower probability of occurrence in the rocky areas. These results indicate that site-specific and species-specific algorithmic habitat classification applied to high-resolution bathymetry data can be used to accurately extrapolate the results from in situ video surveys of demersal fishes across broad areas of habitat.KEY WORDS: Ecosystem-based management · Rockfish · Groundfish · GLMs · Marine protected area · Fishery management
Resale or republication not permitted without written consent of the publisherMar Ecol Prog Ser 415: [247][248][249][250][251][252][253][254][255][256][257][258][259][260][261] 2010 Traditional methods of distributional estimates have typically relied upon broad extrapolation from narrowly constrained or sparse data sets, or very costly intense sampling efforts carried out over broad areas (Margules & Austin 1991, Li & Hilbert 2008. However, because the selection of habitats by organisms is nonrandom (Rhodes et al. 2005), habitat conditions important to the occurrence of a species can be used to predict their distribution and aid in the development of management plans (Fernandez et al. 2003).In terrestrial environments, spatially explicit habitat suitability modeling has emerged as an efficient tool for generating accurate patterns and predictions of species abundance and distribution (Austin et al. 1994, Rotenberry et al. 2006, Kleinwachter & Rickfelder 2007, Valavanis et al. 2008. The integration of recent advancements in GIS software , Rotenberry et al. 2006)...