Both major morphologic types of cervical cancer, squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and adenocarcinoma (AC), are causally related to persistent infection with high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV), but screening has primarily been effective at preventing SCC. We analysed incidence trends of cervical cancer in Norway stratified by morphologies over 55 years, and projected SCC incidence in the absence of screening by assessing the changes in the incidence rate of AC. The Cancer Registry of Norway was used to identify all 19,530 malignancies in the cervix diagnosed in the period 1956-2010. The majority of these (82.9%) were classified as SCCs, 10.5% as ACs and the remaining 6.6% were of other or undefined morphology. By jointpoint analyses of a period of more than five decades, the average annual percentage change in the age-standardised incidence was 21.0 (95%CI: 22.1-0.1) for cervical SCC, 1.5 (95%CI:1.1-1.9) for cervical AC and 20.9 (95%CI: 21.4 to 20.3) for cervical cancers of other or undefined morphology. The projected age-standardised incidence rate of cervical SCC in Norway, assuming no screening, was 28.6 per 100,000 woman-years in 2010, which compared with the observed SCC rate of 7.3 corresponds to an estimated 74% reduction in SCC or a 68% reduction due to screening in the total cervical cancer burden. Cytology screening has impacted cervical cancer burden more than suggested by the overall observed cervical cancer incidence reduction since its peak in the mid-1970s. The simultaneous substantial increase in cervical adenocarcinoma in Norway is presumably indicative of an increase in exposure to HPV over time.Cervical cancer burden peaked in the 1970s in Norway, and a reduction exceeding 50% in both incidence and mortality has since been observed. 1 Trends in the population burden of disease are driven by a composite of risk factor exposure in successive cohorts, changes in the age structure of the population, and the effectiveness of preventive measures over time. In the case of cervical cancer, risk is dominated by high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) exposure and secondary prevention of invasive disease by screening for treatable precursors. The two main histological types of cervical cancer, squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and adenocarcinoma (AC), share the necessary cause of persistent hrHPV infection, 2 but screening by cytology has mainly been effective at preventing SCC.3-5 Thus, historical trends in AC have been affected by screening to a much smaller degree and can arguably be considered to reflect the background risk of exposure to hrHPV. Other, rarer histological types of cervical cancer include adenosquamous carcinomas, other specified and unspecified carcinomas, very rare stromal, lymphoid and myeloid malignancies and melanomas. 6 There is some evidence suggesting that the effect of screening on adenosquamous carcinomas can be similar in magnitude to the effect on SCC, 7 but documentation of effect on the even rarer types of carcinomas is scarce. The occasional nonepithelial cervical cancers ar...