Using Spatial Models to Predict Areas of Endemism and Gaps in the Protection of Andean Slope Birds

Young, Bruce E.; Franke, Irma; Hernández, Pilar Adriana Rey; Herzog, Sebastián K.; Paniagua, Lily; Tovar, Carolina; Valqui, Thomas

doi:10.1525/auk.2009.08155

Cited by 57 publications

(39 citation statements)

References 38 publications

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“…In most cases (70%) we followed a procedure by Young et al (2009) to determine the most current realistic range prediction. We identified the threshold that produced the most reasonable map for the species according to known information and our present understanding of its current distribution (Young et al, 2009).…”

Section: Distribution Modelingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Although these species are of interest for conservation, currently most are threatened by habitat loss, and the occurrences of most species in protected areas in Bolivia and Peru is limited (Hennessey et al, 2003). In fact, critical areas of bird endemism may be only partially covered in these protected areas (Young et al, 2009). These protected areas are also at risk, facing threats that include but are not limited to deforestation (Killeen et al, 2007), roads, mining activities, fires and hydrocarbon projects SERNANP, 2007).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Projected distribution shifts and protected area coverage of range-restricted Andean birds under climate change

Avalos

Hernández

2015

Global Ecology and Conservation

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a b s t r a c tIn this study we projected the effect of anthropogenic climate change in endemic and restricted-range Andean bird species that spread out from the center of Bolivia to southeastern Peru. We also analyzed the representation of these species in protected areas. The ensemble forecasts from niche-based models indicated that 91-100% of species may reduce their range size under full and no dispersal scenarios, including five species that are currently threatened. The large range reduction (average 63%) suggests these mountain species may be threatened by climate change. The strong effects due to range species losses are predicted in the humid mountain forests of Bolivia. The representation of bird species also decreased in protected areas. Partial gap species (94-86%) are expected to increase over the present (62%). This suggests climate change and other non-climate stressors should be incorporated in conservations plans for the long-term persistence of these species. This study anticipates the magnitude of shifts in the distribution of endemic birds, and represents in the study area the first exploration of the representation of rangerestricted Andean birds in protected areas under climate change.

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Section: Distribution Modelingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Projected distribution shifts and protected area coverage of range-restricted Andean birds under climate change

Avalos

Hernández

2015

Global Ecology and Conservation

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“…Maxent models can perform spatial prediction modeling and estimate the potential geographic distributions of species by merging presence-only data with environmental data. Thus, Maxent has many advantages and is extensively used for predicting potential distributions of plants, animals, insects, nematodes, corals, bryophytes and fungi for many purposes in biogeography, conservation biology and ecology (Phillips and Dudík, 2008;S ergio et al, 2007;Tittensor et al, 2009;Tognelli et al, 2009;Wang et al, 2007;Ward, 2007;Williams et al, 2009;Wollan et al, 2008;Young et al, 2009). …”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Maxent modeling for predicting the potential distribution of Sanghuang, an important group of medicinal fungi in China

2015

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“…MaxEnt uses presence-only data to predict the likelihood distributions of maximum entropy as the basis for forecasts of potential distributions of species (Young et al, 2009). …”

Section: Species Distribution Modellingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling the Distribution of Wetland Birds on the Red Sea Coast in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

2015

AEER

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Using Spatial Models to Predict Areas of Endemism and Gaps in the Protection of Andean Slope Birds

Cited by 57 publications

References 38 publications

Projected distribution shifts and protected area coverage of range-restricted Andean birds under climate change

Projected distribution shifts and protected area coverage of range-restricted Andean birds under climate change

Maxent modeling for predicting the potential distribution of Sanghuang, an important group of medicinal fungi in China

Modelling the Distribution of Wetland Birds on the Red Sea Coast in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

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