Experimentally-calibrated populations of models (ePoM) for cardiac electrophysiology can be used as a means to elucidate the cellular dynamics that lead to pathologies observed in organ-level measurements, while taking into account the variability inherent to living creatures. Notwithstanding, the results obtained through ePoM will depend on the capabilities of the template model, and not one model can accurately reproduce all pathologies. The objective of this work was to show how using different models, within an ePoM framework, can be advantageous when looking for the causes for a pathological behavior observed in experimental data. Populations of the ten Tusscher (2006) and the O'Hara-Rudy model were calibrated to activation-recovery intervals measured during an ex-vivo porcine heart experiment; a pathological reduction in ARI was observed as the experiment progressed in time. The ePoM approach predicted a reduction in calcium uptake via L-type channels, using the TP06 model, and an increased potassium concentration in blood, using the ORd model, as the causes for the reduction in ARI; these findings were then confirmed by other experimental data. This approach can also accommodate different biomarkers or more mathematical models to further increase its predictive capabilities.
IntroductionMathematical models for cardiac electrophysiology (EP) can be used to simulate the behavior of cardiomyocytes within a computerized environment. The most detailed models include descriptions for most of the ion channels present in the membrane, these channels allow the flow of ions in and out of the cell. Using these models researchers can study cellular action potentials, in-silico, without having to isolate individual myocytes for an invitro study; furthermore, these models can be used to simulate both physiology and pathology in action potential genesis and propagation. Although numerous advances have been made in the field, and computational EP models have become incredibly detailed, there remain open questions that need to be addressed, particularly on how to choose a model that best suits the study at hand, about the choice of parameters and evaluation of parameter sensitivities, validation against reliable experimental data and in taking into account the role of inter-subject variability when studying both physiology and pathology [1].Recently, 'experimentally-calibrated populations of models' (ePoM) have been used as a means to study the role of variability in EP models [2]. These populations are constructed by varying the maximal conductances and currents which are normally parameters of the EP models; this allows to investigate variability, which is not possible if assuming that these peak conductances and currents have a fixed value. Hence, a population of models is generated and by constraining the possible models of the population using experimental data one can hypothesize what are the conditions within the cellular membrane that could produce an observed physiological behavior. Previous works in popu...