Claims that there will be a massive loss of species as tropical forests are cleared are based on the relationship between habitat area and the number of species. Few studies calibrate extinction with habitat reduction. Critics raise doubts about this calibration, noting that there has been extensive clearing of the eastern North American forest, yet only 4 of its "200 bird species have gone extinct. We analyze the distribution of bird species and the timing and extent of forest loss. The forest losses were not concurrent across the region. Based on the maximum extent of forest losses, our calculations predict fewer extinctions than the number observed. At most, there are 28 species of birds restricted to the region. Only these species would be at risk even if all the forests were cleared. Far from providing comfort to those who argue that the current rapid rate of tropical deforestation might cause fewer extinctions than often claimed, our results suggest that the losses may be worse. In contrast to eastern North America, small regions of tropical forest often hold hundreds of endemic bird species.As forests or other habitats are destroyed, the remaining habitat may be too small to hold viable populations of all the species that require it (1). Consequently, extinction follows habitat reduction. The often unmistakable destruction of habitat is vital to arguments about the global loss of species (2). With important exceptions, the species losses themselves are hard to document. We can estimate only imprecisely the total number of species an area holds. Indeed, we have names for only a tiny fraction of the planet's species (3). Our confidence in predicting species loss from habitat reduction stems from the relationship between the number of well-known species an area holds and its size. Those who point to the extensive reductions in the forests of eastern North America during the nineteenth century (4, 5) challenge this confidence. Historically, few of the region's '200 terrestrial bird species have gone extinct. Birds are well-known and we cannot plead ignorance of their extinctions. Do these observations refute the predictions of the species-area calculations (6) and so call into question fears about massive loss of species on a global scale?We review the history of deciduous and coastal plain coniferous forests in the eastern United States from European settlement to the present. Forest losses have been extensive, but they were not concurrent. In New England, for example, forests began to recover as deforestation-and many of the people who caused it-moved into the Ohio Valley. At the period of lowest forest cover, about half of the forest was gone. We also list the species of birds that became extinct and those that remain. Of the species found only in eastern North America, the species losses have been higher than we predict from forest losses. This region has surprisingly few rangerestricted bird species, however, and most species could survive elsewhere as the forests were cleared. Many tropical fore...