Victory margins and the paradox of voting

Castanheira, Micaël

doi:10.1016/s0176-2680(03)00038-7

Cited by 45 publications

(49 citation statements)

References 20 publications

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“…These are the extent to which an individual believes that politics is important and how good she considers the working of the political system in her country. 10 Information and Political Preferences. In order to test for the empirical relevance of the swing voter's curse theory we focused on the questions contained in the WVS regarding the level of information and the political preferences of individuals.…”

Section: Independent Variablesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Electoral participation and communicative voting in Europe

Sobbrio

Navarra

2010

European Journal of Political Economy

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This paper provides an empirical investigation of electoral participation and communicative voting in 14 European countries. We estimate a multi-level voting process where individuals face a participation decision (whether to vote or abstain) and a voting decision (whether to vote strategically for a likely winner party or as communicating for a sure loser party). Our main …ndings can be summarized as follows. First, individuals who are either independent or uninformed are less likely to turnout. However, being both independent and uninformed does not have any statistically signi…cant e¤ect on electoral participation. Thus, our results question the empirical relevance of the swing voter's curse theory in large elections. Second, the probability of voting as communicating is positively related with the level of education and the degree of dissatisfaction with the political system. Finally, political preferences and institutional features characterizing the functioning of the political system and of the media market have a signi…cant e¤ect both on electoral participation and on the voting decision.JEL Classi…cation: D72, C25

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Section: Independent Variablesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Electoral participation and communicative voting in Europe

Sobbrio

Navarra

2010

European Journal of Political Economy

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“…Fowler (2005) argues that individuals imitate the voting behavior of their social circle, which can lead to turnout cascades. Castanheira (2003) points out that voting benefit can be high, since the implemented platform after the elections depends not only on the winner, but also on the margin of victory. Papers on expressive voting (Brennan and Hamlin 1998, Engelen 2006, Kamenica and Egan Brad 2012, Degan 2013) assert that voting is a consumption good in itself, because it allows one to affirm her own beliefs and values.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Voting as a signaling device

2013

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“…11 Castanheira (2003), however, notes that wealthier citizens may have larger opportunity cost of time, and, thus, experience larger costs associated with voting, thereby generating lower voter turnout. In contrast, Sobbrio and Navarra (2010) find that voters earn greater income as compared to non-voters in the analysis of 14 European countries.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…We use the ratio of population to public officials to proxy for homogeneity. The literature also suggests that the level of education and income is a critically important determinant of voter turnout (Verba and Nie, 1972;Castanheira, 2003;Lehoucq and Wall, 2004;Sobbrio and Navarra, 2010;Hortala-Vallve and Esteve-Volart, 2011). Voter turnout is rather positively associated with the level of education and income (Lijphart, 1997;Lehoucq and Wall, 2004).…”

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confidence: 99%

Vote Buying and Victory of Election: The Case of Taiwan

Jang¹,

Chang²

2016

Prague Economic Papers

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This paper examines the effect of vote buying on the vote shares of multiple parties using maximum likelihood estimation of a Dirichlet distribution in a panel of 23 counties of Taiwan over the period of 1998-2008. We find that vote buying significantly influences the vote shares of multiple parties in Taiwan parliamentary elections. In particular, we find that vote buying reduces the likelihood of Chinese National Party (KMT) and Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) votes by 10% and 11%, respectively. Our results provide strong evidence that vote buying decreases the probability of electoral success. We conclude that vote buying does not ensure victory in Taiwan parliamentary elections, and, therefore, emphasize that vote buying is ineffective and counterproductive practice. We offer several possible explanations for why candidates use scarce resources for this illegal practice during election campaigns. These results are robust to group logit model with seemingly unrelated regressions.

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Victory margins and the paradox of voting

Cited by 45 publications

References 20 publications

Electoral participation and communicative voting in Europe

Electoral participation and communicative voting in Europe

Voting as a signaling device

Vote Buying and Victory of Election: The Case of Taiwan

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