Violence against Rich Ethnic Minorities: A Theory of Instrumental Scapegoating

Abstract

In many parts of the developing world, ethnic minorities play a central role in the economy. Examples include Chinese throughout Southeast Asia, Indians in East Africa and Lebanese in West Africa. These rich minorities are often subject to popular violence and extortion, and are treated ambiguously by local politicians. We analyze the impact of the presence of a rich ethnic minority on violence and on interactions between a rent-seeking local elite and a poor majority. We find that the local elite can always make use of the rich minority to maintain its hold on power. When the threat of violence is high, the government may change its economic policies strategically to sacrifice the minority to popular resentment. We investigate the conditions under which such instrumental scapegoating emerges, and the forms it takes. We then consider some social integration capturing, for instance, mixed marriages and shared education. Social integration reduces violence and yields qualitative changes in economic policies. Overall, our results help explain documented patterns of violence and segregation.

Aspirations and Economic Behavior

“…There is a small literature on scapegoating in economics. Theoretical work includes studies by Glaeser (2005) and Bramoullé & Morault (2017), while empirical research documents the importance of negative shocks on persecution. In particular, there are several studies that employ weather shocks as an exogenous proxy for bad economic outcomes and study their consequences on the persecution of the Jews in Medieval Europe (Andrews & Leigh 2009) and in Russia (Grosfeld et al 2020) or on witch killings in Tanzania (Miguel 2005).…”