“…Both the aforementioned explanations imply that probability matching is an artefact of a cognitive weakness, but it may also provide some benefit to an individual as it allows for sampling of the environment and therefore an opportunity to update priors where conditions may be fluctuating (Pisupati, Chartarifsky-Lynn, Khanal, & Churchland, 2021). Whatever the cause, there is experimental evidence that the application of probability matching may be context dependent, and contingent on incentives, motivation, reinforcement, or understanding of the problem (Bitterman, 1971; Börgers & Sarin, 2000; Erev & Barron, 2005; Rivas, 2013; Shanks, Tunney, & McCarthy, 2002; Vulkan, 2000; Wolford, Newman, Miller, & Wig, 2004). In our Experiment 1, three of the eight fish choose the biased position in T5 at a higher rate than probability matching predicts (fish: 8M = 96%, 9N = 71%, 21P = 79%).…”