EXECUTIVE SUMMARYThe groundwater flow and radionuclide transport at the Amchitka Island underground nuclear tests are modeled using two-dimensional numerical simulations. A multi-parameter uncertainty analysis is adapted and used to address the effects of the uncertainties associated with the definition of the modeled processes and the values of the parameters governing these processes. The nuclear tests performed at Milrow, Long Shot and Cannikin are the focus of this investigation. These tests were detonated on October 2, 1969, October 29, 1965, and November 6, 1971, respectively. The announced yield of these test are approximately one megaton for Milrow, 80 kilotons for Long Shot and less than five megatons for Cannikin.The flow model is conceptualized to address the problem of density-driven flow where the saltwater intrusion problem is encountered. The multi-parameter uncertainty analysis addresses the effects of the uncertainty associated with four of the parameters governing these processes on the resulting solution. These parameters are the hydraulic conductivity, recharge, fracture porosity and macrodispersivity. The heat-driven flow and three-dimensional flow features are addressed in a less rigorous manner via a sensitivity analysis. This includes the geothermal heat, the shot-induced heat effects, the chimney geometry, the effects of nearby faults and the effect of the island half-width. All the simulations presented in this report, as well as the sensitivity analyses, are performed using the FEFLOW model of the WASY Institute for Water Resources Planning and Systems Research Ltd.The conceptual transport model simulates many processes in addition to the advection-dispersion process. The release mechanism and glass dissolution, sorption effects, matrix diffusion and radioactive decay are among the processes modeled. The parametric uncertainty analysis also extends to three of the transport parameters governing the glass dissolution process, the matrix diffusion process and local scale dispersion. The solution of the transport problem is performed using a numerical particle-tracking algorithm and a semi-analytical solution is used for the matrix diffusion studies.Hydraulic conductivity data collected from six boreholes are analyzed to yield a best estimate for the homogeneous conductivity value and the range of uncertainty associated with this estimate. Temperature logs measured in several of the boreholes on the island are used to estimate groundwater recharge. Measurements of total porosity were made on numerous core samples obtained from four boreholes. There are no measurements for fracture porosity, and therefore, values for this parameter are selected based on reported values from the literature.Batch sorption experiments were performed using cores collected from the Cannikin emplacement well. Sorption on both basalt and breccia was investigated for strontium, cesium, and lead dissolved in water of basically seawater composition. The high ionic strength of the solution and rock properties resulte...