“…This is extremely important, especially in determining the quantity of fiscal or countercyclical buffers to build in good time (economic boom) which will serve as buffer in bad times (economic burst). Economist considers variability of oil prices as the major source of macroeconomic fluctuations (see An, Jin, & Ren, 2014;Jin, 2015;Ibrahim & Ahmed, 2014;and Allegret, Mignon, & Sallenave, 2015). Most of these studies are from oil importing and developed economies perspective, which model increasing oil prices as bad news or negative shocks while decreasing oil prices as goods or positive oil shocks, because of the adverse effects of increasing oil prices on such economies.…”