Vulnerability and impact assessment of extreme climatic event: A case study of southern Punjab, Pakistan

Aslam, Abdul Qayyum; Ahmad, Sajid Rashid; Ahmad, Iftikhar; Hussain, Yawar; Hussain, Muhammad

doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.11.155

Cited by 53 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 27 publications

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“…Agricultural credit significantly affects farmers' income, production, and food security, particularly in areas where farmers are vulnerable to floods, pest disease, environmental degradation, and other catastrophic hazards [32]. The findings of this study will guide governments in shaping policy initiatives designed to help farmers who are suffering from high production cost and low profit due to natural hazards, environmental degradation from industrialization, and other catastrophic hazards [33].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 89%

Factors Influencing Rice Farmers’ Risk Attitudes and Perceptions in Bangladesh amid Environmental and Climatic Issues

Islam¹,

Rahman²,

Sarker³

et al. 2020

Pol. J. Environ. Stud.

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Rice farmers in Bangladesh face various environmental, climatic and market price-related risks. Choices of various operational tactics used for farm management are mostly influenced by farmers' risk perception and attitude. This study intends to discover the influencing factors of a farmer on the risk associated with environmental and climatic issues. This study quantifies the risk perceptions of rice farmers, their perceived behavior, and various associated underlying factors using a crosssectional dataset on 600 rice farmers from three major rice-growing districts in Bangladesh. Equally, Likely Certainty Equivalent approach has been used to rank the farmers' perceptions of three major risk dimensions such as the risk of market price fluctuation, the risk from various natural hazards, and risk of pest and disease. Probit regression is also used to discern the underlying factors affecting risk attitudes and perceptions. The results show that farmers' age, total family income, distance from the farm gate to the main market, savings, agricultural credit, off-farm income, access to information, and frequent contact with extension officers are significant determinants that affect farmers' risk attitudes and perceptions. This study provides in-depth insights for farmers, extension service providers, and agricultural planners on the real situation of farmers in developing countries, particularly those where crop insurance is still uncommon.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 89%

Factors Influencing Rice Farmers’ Risk Attitudes and Perceptions in Bangladesh amid Environmental and Climatic Issues

Islam¹,

Rahman²,

Sarker³

et al. 2020

Pol. J. Environ. Stud.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Numerous studies examined the impact of climate change on agriculture (e.g., References [29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39]). These studies outlaid the impact of climate variables on the productivity of agriculture and farmers' revenue.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Current and Future Production Systems in Punjab, Pakistan

et al. 2019

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Mankind is in peril and there are many reasons for this; however, climate change precedes all other reasons. Problems of poor farming communities are augmented due to the menace of climate change. This study endeavors to determine the effect on farming communities of both climate change and a situation without climate change. To carry out the study, three different districts were selected (Rawalpindi, Chakwal, and Layyah). Impact of the climate vagaries on per capita income, farm returns, and poverty of the respondents was taken into consideration. To achieve pathways analysis, regional representative agricultural pathways were used. The decision support system for agrotechnology transfer (DSSAT) crop growth model was employed for wheat-related simulations. The tradeoff analysis model for multidimensional impact assessment (TOA-MD) model was used for economic analysis. The results lend credence to the aforementioned nuisance of climate change, as the findings which came through were negatively affecting farm returns, per capita income, and poverty of the farmers. The negative impact applies to both current and future production systems. Farmers are up against the wall because of climate change and they will have to adopt new innovations to raise their productivity.

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“…The main area for this study is the urban center of District Multan, i.e., Multan city. We chose this area primarily for two reasons: (1) Multan is one of the fastest expanding cities in Pakistan [32], yet there are no prior studies on the spatiotemporal changes in the landscape of the Multan region, and (2) Multan is located in the southern parts of Punjab province, which is reportedly amongst the most vulnerable parts of Pakistan to climate change [37,38]. The region has been in the spotlight in recent years because of extreme climate change events [39].…”

Section: Study Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

Linking Social Perception and Provision of Ecosystem Services in a Sprawling Urban Landscape: A Case Study of Multan, Pakistan

et al. 2019

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Urban sprawl causes changes in land use and a decline in many ecosystem services. Understanding the spatial patterns of sprawl and exploration of citizens’ perception towards the sporadic urban expansion and its impacts on an ecosystem to deliver services can help to guide land use planning and the conservation of the urban ecosystem. Here, we spatially examined land use changes in Multan, Pakistan, and investigated public perception about urban sprawl and its impacts on the quality and provision of ecosystem services, using a survey instrument. The spatial analysis of the historical land cover of Multan indicated an exponential expansion of the city in the last decade. Large areas of natural vegetation and agricultural land were converted to urban settlements in the past two decades. The citizens of Multan believe that the quality and provision of ecosystem services have declined in the recent past and strongly correlate the deteriorating ecosystem services with urban sprawl. Education and income levels of the respondents are the strongest predictors of urban ecosystem health literacy. Citizens associated with laborious outdoor jobs are more sensitive to the changes in ecosystem services. We concluded that the rapidly expanding cities, especially in the tropical arid zones, need to be prioritized for an increase in vegetation cover, and economically vulnerable settlements in these cities should be emphasized in climate change mitigation campaigns.

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Vulnerability and impact assessment of extreme climatic event: A case study of southern Punjab, Pakistan

Cited by 53 publications

References 27 publications

Factors Influencing Rice Farmers’ Risk Attitudes and Perceptions in Bangladesh amid Environmental and Climatic Issues

Factors Influencing Rice Farmers’ Risk Attitudes and Perceptions in Bangladesh amid Environmental and Climatic Issues

Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Current and Future Production Systems in Punjab, Pakistan

Linking Social Perception and Provision of Ecosystem Services in a Sprawling Urban Landscape: A Case Study of Multan, Pakistan

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