I n t h e c o n t e x t o f a n u n p r e c e d e n t e d a g i n g p r o c e s s , t h e r o l e o f d o m i c i l i a r y c a r e f o r o l d e r a d u l t s i s b e c o m i n g i n c r e a s i n g l y e s s e n t i a l . I n o r d e r t o d e s i g n e f f e c t i v e a n d p r o a c t i v e p o l i c i e s o f f o r m a l e l d e r l y -c a r e , i t i s c r u c i a l t o u n d e r s t a n d h o w v u l n e r a b l e e l d e r l y i n d i v i d u a l s w o u l d a d j u s t t h e i r i n f o r m a l l o n g -t e r m c a r e u t i l i z a t i o n t o c h a n g e s i n t h e f o r m a l-c a r e p r o v i s i o n . A l t h o u g h t h e o r e t i c a l f r a m e w o r k s h a v e b e e n p r o p o s e d , s h o w i n g t h a t a p o s i t i v e r e l a t i o n s h i p c o u l d a r i s ew h e n t h e e l d e r l y e x h i b i t a n e x c e s s d e m a n d o f c a r e , e m p i r i c a l e v i d e n c e i s s c a n t , d u e t o t h e l a c k o f c r e d i b l e i n s t r u m e n t s t o a c c o u n t f o r t h e e n d o g e n o u s n a t u r e o f f o r m a l -c a r e d e c i s i o n s . W e p r o p o s e a n o v e l i n s t r u m e n t , a n i n d e x t h a t c a p t u r e i n d i v i d u a l s ' e l i g i b i l i t y s t a t u s t o t h e L T C d o m i c i l i a r y p r o g r a m m e s i m p l e m e n t e d i n t h e i r o w n n a t i o n o r r e g i o n . T h a t i s , a d u m m y v a r i a b l e -b e i n g e l i g i b l e o r n o tw h i c h i s g r o u n d e d o n t h e L T C r e g u l a t i o n c o n t e x t a t n a t i o n a l o r r e g i o n a l l e v e l, b u t s t i l l h a s i n d i v i d u a l w i t h i n r e g i o n v a r i a t i o n d u e t o d i f f e r e n c e s i n h e a l t h c o n d i t i o n s a n d v u l n e r a b i l i t y a s s e s s m e n t . W e e s t i m a t e a n I V t w o -p a r t m o d e l u s i n g a r e p r e s e n t a t i v e s a m p l e o f t h e o v e r 6 0 p o p u l a t i o n f o r n o n -i n s t i t u t i o n a l i s e d i n d i v i d u a l s i n A u s t r i a , G e r m a n y , F r a n c e a n d B e l g i u m . O u r r e s u l t s, w h i c h a r e r o b u s t t o a n u m b e r o f d i f f e r e n t s p e c i f i c a t i o n s , p o i n t a t t h e l a c k o f c r o w d i n g -o u t o f t h e i n f o r m a l -b y t h e f o r m a l -c a r e , t h u s s u g g e s t i n g t h e e x i s t e n c e o f a s u b s t a n t i a l u n m e t d e m a n d o f L T C a m o n g t h e e l d e r l y .
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Abstract:In the context of an unprecedented aging process, the role of domiciliary care for older adults is becoming increasingly essential. In order to design effective and proactive policies of formal elderly-care, it is crucial to understand how vulnerable elderly individuals would adjust their informal long-term care utilization to changes in the formal-care provision. Although theoretical frameworks have been proposed, showing that a positive relationship could arise when the elderly exhibit an excess demand of care, empirical evidence is scant, due to the lack of credible i...