Vulnerability assessment studies on climate change: a review of the research in Mexico

González, Areli Nájera; González, Fátima Maciel Carrillo

doi:10.20937/atm.52895

Cited by 5 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 10 publications

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“…We also have yet to examine CC’s effect on species habitats. For example, pollution, sea-level rise, and many other factors further impact marine organisms in Mexico [20]. Thus, the alterations via CC probably may be more pronounced than what has been predicted in this work.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 79%

“…Studies relating to species vulnerability in Mexico are scarce making our results harder to compare since most studies are usually at a regional scale [15,[69][70][71][72]. Even so, a few studies have tried to predict the vulnerabilities of fisheries throughout the country [18,20]. This study found spatial patterns of changes in suitability, ecological richness, and turnover through the climate change scenarios; however, their magnitude was related to the warming degree.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 96%

“…Despite the potential impact of CC, few studies have aimed to evaluate the vulnerability of fishery resources in Mexico. Mexican researchers assessed the potential effect that CC would have on the coastal ecosystems in Mexico's Atlantic and Pacific regions [20]. These authors concluded that the impact would harm fisheries that contribute 70% of the fishing volume and economic value due to ecosystem alterations.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Can upwelling regions be potential thermal refugia for marine species during climate warming? The case of Mexico

Angeles-Gonzalez,

Torrejón-Magallanes,

Osorio-Olvera

et al. 2023

Preprint

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Anthropogenic climate warming will change the thermal habitats of marine species worldwide. Species are expected to migrate to higher latitudes as warming intensifies since behavioral and physiological mechanisms have been adapted to maximize fitness under a specific range of temperatures. However, given the possible intensification of upwelling ecosystems, they may act as potential thermal refugia under climate warming, which could protect the diversity of the marine ecosystems, making them important regions for marine resource management. This research aimed to predict the effects of climate warming on commercial and non-commercial marine species (vertebrate and invertebrates) reported in official Mexican documents (> 300 species) based on a thermal niche characterization with the objective to observe if the upwelling regions can act as potential thermal refugia. For this, we considered Representative Concentration Pathway (6.0 and 8.5) scenarios for the present and the future (2040-2050 and 2090-2100). Current and future patterns of suitability, species distribution, richness, and turnover were calculated via ecological niche models using the minimum volume ellipsoids as an algorithm. The results in this study highlight that beyond migration to higher latitudes, some upwelling regions (not all) could be potentially used as some type of “oasis” by marine species refuging from environmental pressure or zones of higher stability of species. Specifically, the upwelling systems in western Baja California and north of Yucatan may be essential regions for future management in Mexico. Nevertheless, it is important to note that climate change acts on numerous ecosystem features, such as trophic relationships, phenology, and other environmental variables not considered here. Future research could test our hypothesis under more realistic simulations. However, migration toward upwelling regions seems to be the most logical selection from all the available ecosystems as climate refugia for marine species beyond movement to higher latitudes or depths.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 79%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 96%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Can upwelling regions be potential thermal refugia for marine species during climate warming? The case of Mexico

Angeles-Gonzalez,

Torrejón-Magallanes,

Osorio-Olvera

et al. 2023

Preprint

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“…According to national and international reviews [5,6], territories as a category of geographic analysis are one of the most recurrent subjects in climate change vulnerability studies (e.g., towns, cities, municipalities, countries, watersheds, physiographic regions, and natural protected areas).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…These studies evaluate how the different elements in the territory (e.g., physical, biotic, human, and cultural) may be affected by climate change, in order to propose territorial action strategies that minimize damage [7]. Describing the exposure component is one of the challenges of vulnerability studies, especially in studies of territories where the exposed system is the geographic landscape [6].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Nature’s Contributions to People in Vulnerability Studies When Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Coastal Landscapes

González

et al. 2022

Sustainability

Self Cite

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The geographic landscape is a recurrent unit of analysis in vulnerability studies. Single descriptions are often used to show the elements exposed in these landscapes. However, the concept requires specifying the components of the landscape and its functioning as a unit. Thus, the purpose of this research was to use the analysis of Nature’s Contributions to People (NCP) to describe the global contribution of landscape elements to human activities, prioritizing the units in which the effects of climate change may imply greater impacts on the human population. For this, we analyzed six categories of nature’s contributions applied to the landscape units in a fragment of the Mexican Pacific coast. The units with mangrove cover had the highest nature contributions. It is expected that the application of this approach in the exposure component of vulnerability studies will allow a better understanding of the non-return relationship and the search for adaptive nature-based solutions.

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Biophilic Design: Pinpointing Nature-Based Techniques in Urban Areas to Combat Global Warming

Daemei,

Mazandarani,

Motamed

2023

Urban Sustainability

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Vulnerability assessment studies on climate change: a review of the research in Mexico

Cited by 5 publications

References 10 publications

Can upwelling regions be potential thermal refugia for marine species during climate warming? The case of Mexico

Can upwelling regions be potential thermal refugia for marine species during climate warming? The case of Mexico

Nature’s Contributions to People in Vulnerability Studies When Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Coastal Landscapes

Biophilic Design: Pinpointing Nature-Based Techniques in Urban Areas to Combat Global Warming

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