Vulnerability of agriculture to climate change in Serbia - farmers’ assessment of impacts and damages

Stricevic, J Ruzica; Lipovac, Aleksa; Prodanovic, S.; Ristovski, A Marijana; Petrovic-Obradovic, T Olivera; Lj., Nevenka Djurovic; Djurovic, B Dejan

doi:10.2298/jas2003263s

Cited by 7 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 19 publications

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“…[2]. In addition, according to farmers' perception, climate change has a negative impact on plant production in Serbia [3]. Based on analyses of future climate scenarios in Southeast Europe through to the end of the century, air temperatures are expected to rise, dry periods are to lengthen, precipitation patterns will become increasingly nonuniform, and heat waves and other unwelcome events are to occur more often [4], implying the need to irrigate common bean.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

AquaCrop Model Performance in Yield, Biomass, and Water Requirement Simulations of Common Bean Grown under Different Irrigation Treatments and Sowing Periods

et al. 2023

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The application of crop growth simulation and water management models will become increasingly important in the future. They can be used to predict yield reductions due to water scarcity and allocate water to ensure profitable crop production. The objective of this research was to calibrate the AquaCrop model for common bean (Faseolus vulgaris L.) grown in temperate climates and to test whether the model can be used for different irrigation strategies to achieve high yield productivity. The model was calibrated using data obtained from two years of experimental research in the Serbian territory of the Syrmia region. There were three sowing periods/plots: I—mid April, II—end of May/beginning of June, and III—third decade of June/beginning of July; and three levels of irrigation/subplots: full irrigation (F) providing 100% of crop evapotranspiration (ETc), mild deficit irrigation (R) at 80% of ETc, and moderate deficit irrigation (S) at 60% of ETc. The results show that the AquaCrop model accurately predicts common bean yield, biomass, canopy cover, and water requirements. The statistical indices of the calibrated dataset, coefficient of determination (R2), normalized root mean square error (NRMSE), mean bias error (MBE), and Willmott agreement index (d) for yield and biomass were: 0.91, 0.99; 6.9%, 11.4%; −0.046, 1.186 and 0.9, 0.89, respectively. When testing three irrigation strategies, the model accurately predicted irrigation requirements for the full and two deficit irrigation strategies, with only 29 mm, 32 mm, and 34 mm more water than was applied for the Fs, Rs, and Ss irrigation strategy, respectively. The AquaCrop model performed well in predicting irrigated yield and can be used to estimate the yield of common bean for different sowing periods and irrigation strategies.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

AquaCrop Model Performance in Yield, Biomass, and Water Requirement Simulations of Common Bean Grown under Different Irrigation Treatments and Sowing Periods

et al. 2023

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“…According to some estimates, by 2032, Serbia should defend over a million hectares of the most fertile land from the effects of drought (Marković, Kokot, 2019;Stričević et al, 2020). It is estimated that today about 12% of the total number of agricultural farms irrigate about 3% of the used agricultural land (Ponjičan et al, 2017).…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Revitalisation of agriculture of the Republic of Serbia as a factor of economic development

Ćurčić¹,

Slovak²,

Mitrović³

2021

West Balk J Agricultural Economics & Rural Develop

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Today, in the era of industrial expansion of developing countries, the Republic of Serbia strives to maintain the required level of progress and join the European Union. On this path of transition, it is necessary to use the comparative advantages in relation to the countries of the region, but also the EU member states. Analysing the available data, it can be established that an important comparative advantage of Serbia lies in the agricultural sector. The aim of this paper is to point out the mentioned comparative advantages, primarily by using the historical-comparative method, and to provide a basis for further decision-making to economic policy makers at the regional and national level. The concept of agricultural and economic policy should be based on the complete revival of agriculture, its revitalization, financial consolidation, innovation and affirmation of the intensification of the production framework.

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“…To achieve that, we distributed the 38 keywords into categories, with each corresponding to a different climate change effect. The climate change effects we selected based on the relevant literature review e.g., [31,[67][68][69][70][71], typical for the territory of Serbia, are the following: drought, floods, hail/storms, heat waves, landslides, and premature snow melting. The distribution of keywords, hence, measures, is displayed in Table 3.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Visualising the Relevance of Climate Change for Spatial Planning by the Example of Serbia

Pantić,

Maričić,

Milijić

2024

Applied Sciences

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After decades of rising awareness and undertaken actions, climate change is still one of several focal global challenges. Additionally, the latest report by researchers at the International Panel for Climate Change indicates that the crisis has deepened. With its comprehensive nature, spatial planning is one of the management tools responsible for dealing with climate change and combating its effects. Land use definition is the foundation on which we build mitigation and adaptation systems. It is a complex process that involves (or should involve) a range of stakeholders—experts, politicians, the civil sector, and citizens—in which the clear transmission of messages to stakeholders regarding the state of the art and planned actions is significant. The use of visualisation tools is one of the important ways to achieve this. This research aims to present a set of visualisation tools, applying them in analysis and decision making in the field of spatial planning with regard to climate change. We combined content analysis, colour-graded classification, and the spider method applied to the example of Serbia. The results showed that application of the suggested visualisation methods in combination with regular planning tools (maps) facilitates an understanding of the problem and its presentation to other stakeholders. In the case of Serbia, visualisation tools have shown that adaptation measures prevail over mitigation measures and that the effects of climate change addressed in spatial-planning documents do not significantly match the most challenging effects as perceived from the citizens’ perspective. These are aspects that should be corrected in the next generation of planning documents. The suggested visualisation tools are replicable, with slight adjustments to a specific case, to any other region in the world.

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Vulnerability of agriculture to climate change in Serbia - farmers’ assessment of impacts and damages

Cited by 7 publications

References 19 publications

AquaCrop Model Performance in Yield, Biomass, and Water Requirement Simulations of Common Bean Grown under Different Irrigation Treatments and Sowing Periods

AquaCrop Model Performance in Yield, Biomass, and Water Requirement Simulations of Common Bean Grown under Different Irrigation Treatments and Sowing Periods

Revitalisation of agriculture of the Republic of Serbia as a factor of economic development

Visualising the Relevance of Climate Change for Spatial Planning by the Example of Serbia

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