2022
DOI: 10.1257/aeri.20210161
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Wage Cyclicality and Labor Market Sorting

Abstract: This paper uses a measure of skill mismatch to separate wage flexibility from confounding variation in wages driven by differences in job quality over the business cycle. I first show that the high cyclicality of job switchers' wages goes beyond cyclical movements in skill mismatch. Then I uncover large differences in wage cyclicality across the skill mismatch distribution. Among incumbent workers, wages are acyclical in good matches but procyclical in poor matches, in particular for overqualified workers. (JE… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…Non-employment is defined by reporting any weeks not employed in the month prior to the start of the new match. Consistent with the estimates in Gertler, Huckfeldt, and Trigari (2020) and Figueiredo (2022), with fixed effects as the implicit quality control, the estimates suggest more procyclical wages for job-to-job hires: their coefficient for 1 pp of unemployment is −2.22% (standard error 0.47%) versus −1.30% (standard error 0.34%)…”
Section: Robustness To Measures Of the Business Cyclesupporting
confidence: 61%
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“…Non-employment is defined by reporting any weeks not employed in the month prior to the start of the new match. Consistent with the estimates in Gertler, Huckfeldt, and Trigari (2020) and Figueiredo (2022), with fixed effects as the implicit quality control, the estimates suggest more procyclical wages for job-to-job hires: their coefficient for 1 pp of unemployment is −2.22% (standard error 0.47%) versus −1.30% (standard error 0.34%)…”
Section: Robustness To Measures Of the Business Cyclesupporting
confidence: 61%
“…We restrict our sample to matches active at the survey interview. If the respondent works multiple jobs, we select the one with higher hours per week (or longer tenure in the case of a tie).38 Our fixed-effects estimate of cyclicality for new-hire wages is in line with findings byFigueiredo (2022) for NLSY data and byGertler, Huckfeldt, and Trigari (2020) for SIPP data.…”
mentioning
confidence: 53%
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“…According to Figueiredo (2022), 94% of all agricultural employment worldwide in 2016 was unofficial, demonstrating the prevalence of informal work in this industry. The prevalence of informality in rural areas draws attention to the shortage of decent work that rural workers experience, demonstrating the necessity for efficient solutions to guarantee that agricultural workers have approach to high-best jobs.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%