Background
Discharging patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) often requires complex decision making to balance patient needs with available resources. Unplanned return to the ICU (“bounce back”, BB) has been associated with increased resource utilization and worse outcomes but few data on trauma patients are available. The goal of this study was to review ICU BB and define ICU discharge variables that may be predictive of BB.
Methods
Adults admitted to ICU and discharged alive to a ward from 11/18/04 to 9/01/09 (interval with no changes in coverage) were selected from our trauma registry. Patients with unplanned return to ICU (BB cases) were matched 1:2 with controls on age, ISS and duration of post-ICU stay. Data were collected by chart review then analyzed with univariate and conditional multivariate techniques.
Results
1971 of 8835 hospital admissions (22.3%) were discharged alive from ICU to a ward. 88 patients (4.5%) met our criteria for BB (male 75%, mean age 52.9 + 21.9, mean ISS 23.1 + 10.2). Most (71.6%) occurred within 72 hours. Mortality for BB cases was high (19.3%). Regression analysis showed that male gender (Odds Ratio 2.9, p=0.01), GCS<9 (Odds Ratio 22.3, p<0.01), discharge during day shift (Odds Ratio 6.9, p<0.0001) and presence of one (Odds Ratio 3.5, p=0.03), two (Odds Ratio 3.8, p=0.03) or three or more co-morbidities (Odds Ratio 8.4, p<0.001) were predictive of BB.
Conclusion
In this study, BB rate was 4.8% and associated mortality was 19.3%. At the time of ICU discharge, male gender, a GCS <9, higher FiO2, discharge on day shift and presence of one or more co-morbidities were the strongest predictors of BB. A multi-institutional study is needed to validate and extend these results.