Background
Although warfarin is indicated to prevent ischemic strokes in most patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), evidence supporting its use in hemodialysis is limited. Our aim was to examine outcomes after warfarin initiation, relative to no warfarin use, following incident AF in a large cohort of hemodialysis patients who had comprehensive prescription drug coverage through Medicare Part D.
Study Design
Retrospective observational cohort study.
Setting & Participants
Patients in the US Renal Data System undergoing maintenance hemodialysis who were newly diagnosed with AF in 2007-2011, with Medicare Part D coverage, who had no recorded history of warfarin use.
Predictor
Warfarin initiation, identified by a filled prescription within 30 days of the AF event.
Outcomes
Death, ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, severe gastrointestinal bleeding, and composite outcomes.
Measurements
HRs estimated by applying Cox regression to an inverse probability of treatment-and-censoring-weighted cohort.
Results
Among 12,284 patients with newly diagnosed AF, 1838 (15%) initiated warfarin within 30 days; however, ~70% discontinued its use within one year. In intention-to-treat analyses, warfarin use was marginally associated with a reduced risk of ischemic stroke (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.47-0.99), but not with any of the other outcomes. In as-treated analyses, warfarin use was associated with reduced mortality (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.73-0.97).
Limitations
Short observation period, limited number of non-fatal events, limited generalizability of results to more affluent patients.
Conclusions
In hemodialysis patients with incident AF, warfarin use was marginally associated with a reduced risk of ischemic stroke, and there was a signal towards reduced mortality in as-treated analyses. These results support clinical equipoise regarding the use of warfarin in HD patients and underscore the need for randomized trials to fill this evidence gap.