Warm Arctic-Cold Eurasia pattern helps predict spring wildfire burned area in West Siberia
Zhicong Yin,
Yijia Zhang,
Shengping He
et al.
Abstract:Extreme wildfires have devastating impacts on multiple fronts, and associated carbon greatly heats the earth’s climate. Whether and how to predict wildfires becomes a critical question. In this study, we find that the preceding-winter “warm Arctic-cold Eurasia” (WACE) pattern significantly enlarges the spring burned area in West Siberia. The winter WACE and accompanying snow reduction result in dryness and vegetation exposure in West Siberia in spring, increasing fire risks. A multiple linear regression model … Show more
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