Abstract.It is often stated that Mars and Earth had similar environmental conditions early in their history and that life might therefore have originated on Mars as well as on Earth. However, the atmospheric conditions required to produce and sustain a warm, wet climate on early Mars remain uncertain. State-of-the-art greenhouse models predict global mean surface temperatures early in Mars' history that differ little from today's, unless special conditions are invoked. The greatest difficulty the models have is coping with a faint early Sun.
IntroductionIn spite of the failure of the Viking landers to detect life of any kind, Mars remains a high-priority target for exobiological investigations. The reason for this is the possibility that Mars and Earth experienced similar climatic conditions early in their history and that because life started on Earth, it might also have started on Mars. Then as the planets evolved, life flourished on Earth but became extinct on Mars. Certainly, the evidence for possible Martian microbes found in ALH84001 has heightened interest in this scenario [McKay et al., 1996]. If confirmed, it would rank as one of the most significant discoveries in the history of civilization.However, in spite of a great deal of work on the subject, our understanding of early Mars' climate history remains fuzzy. While the evidence for flowing liquid water in Mars' ancient terrains is compelling, a widely accepted mechanism for producing warm, wet conditions through climate change has yet to emerge. The main difficulty is dealing with the faint young Sun and finding a way to generate and sustain an atmosphere capable of producing a significant greenhouse effect.As will become evident, our thinking about how the early Mars atmosphere could have produced a significant greenhouse effect has alternated between views concluding it could have, and those concluding it could not have. It is the classic modus operandi of scientific thinking; theories are proposed, scrutinized, revised, or abandoned altogether.The purpose of this paper is to review the history of this fascinating subject to provide a context for where we presently stand on this issue. The paper draws heavily from related reviews by Cart [1996], Squyres and Kasting [1994], and Fanale et al. [1992] but emphasizes the climate models themselves and the processes they represent. The presentation is chronological, so that the reader can follow how our thinking has evolved with time.
BackgroundAt the turn of the century the possibility that Mars had liquid water flowing on its surface was popularized in the writings of Percival Lowell, who envisioned vast canal systems constructed by intelligent beings struggling to survive on a dying planet. This romantic view of the red planet was convincingly dispelled This paper is not subject to U.S. copyright. Published in 1998 by the American Geophysical Union.
Paper number 98JE01396.in the 1960s by the early Mariner spacecraft, which found no evidence for canals and, more important, near-surface temperatures and...