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Opisthorchis viverrini is a water‐based disease‐causing parasite whose public health implications are relevant in Southeast Asia. Untreated or chronic infections often lead to severe hepatobiliary morbidity including cholangiocarcinoma, a lethal bile duct cancer. The liver fluke O. viverrini can be contracted by consumption of raw fish, after which it settles in the small biliary ducts. The life cycle involves, besides freshwater snails in which asexual reproduction takes place, freshwater cyprinid fish as intermediate hosts. Piscivorous mammals, including humans, dogs and cats, are definitive hosts. Here, we propose a spatially explicit model for the transmission dynamics in realistic freshwater environments. Our model generalises existing local‐scale models by assimilating novel spreading mechanisms in space and time. Our study emphasises that spatial connectivity is key to shaping patterns of disease spread. Fish distribution and mobility through river corridors affect disease transmission routes. Our study provides baseline information on the role of connected freshwater bodies and their suitability for intermediate and final hosts. The distributions of fish catch and fish market supplies are also considered because they affect the spatiotemporal spread of opisthorchiasis. Adding a spatial component to transmission models fundamentally changes the description of epidemiological dynamics and the related scenarios of disease propagation through an improved description of the ecology of hosts, parasites and their transmission cycles. This work provides a more realistic description of the environment where infection cycles develop and spread than previous modelling attempts did, thus allowing a better characterisation of transmission routes and enabling a proper design of containment measures.
Opisthorchis viverrini is a water‐based disease‐causing parasite whose public health implications are relevant in Southeast Asia. Untreated or chronic infections often lead to severe hepatobiliary morbidity including cholangiocarcinoma, a lethal bile duct cancer. The liver fluke O. viverrini can be contracted by consumption of raw fish, after which it settles in the small biliary ducts. The life cycle involves, besides freshwater snails in which asexual reproduction takes place, freshwater cyprinid fish as intermediate hosts. Piscivorous mammals, including humans, dogs and cats, are definitive hosts. Here, we propose a spatially explicit model for the transmission dynamics in realistic freshwater environments. Our model generalises existing local‐scale models by assimilating novel spreading mechanisms in space and time. Our study emphasises that spatial connectivity is key to shaping patterns of disease spread. Fish distribution and mobility through river corridors affect disease transmission routes. Our study provides baseline information on the role of connected freshwater bodies and their suitability for intermediate and final hosts. The distributions of fish catch and fish market supplies are also considered because they affect the spatiotemporal spread of opisthorchiasis. Adding a spatial component to transmission models fundamentally changes the description of epidemiological dynamics and the related scenarios of disease propagation through an improved description of the ecology of hosts, parasites and their transmission cycles. This work provides a more realistic description of the environment where infection cycles develop and spread than previous modelling attempts did, thus allowing a better characterisation of transmission routes and enabling a proper design of containment measures.
Context In efforts to mitigate anthropogenic impacts on floodplain biodiversity, restoration measures that enhance habitat connectivity have been applied. However, these approaches have either neglected the spatial position of water bodies or the dynamic nature of the floodplain ecosystem. Objectives This study focuses on the novel application of the multilayer network framework to assess changes in the aquatic habitat connectivity in floodplains, showcasing its application in the context of aquatic passive dispersal (drift) of two indicator groups of benthic macroinvertebrates (Oligochaetes and Chironomids) Methods Our case study is located in the Donau-Auen National Park in Austria and follows floodplain restoration measures (side-channel reconnection) applied in the mid-1990s. Multilayer networks were constructed to represent the conditions before, short-term, and long-term after restoration to quantify habitat connectivity across inundation frequencies. Our network analyses involved multilayer correlation, static and dynamic monolayer centralities (centrality profiles), and multilayer centrality assessments. We used a Partial Least Squares Regression analysis as a variable selection tool to identify which centrality measures better explained the variance in $$\alpha$$ α diversity and Local Contributions to Beta Diversity (LCBD) of benthic macroinvertebrates. Results In the short-term, our connectivity analysis indicated an increase in habitat connectivity. However, centrality profiles, multilayer correlation, and multilayer centrality techniques identified a long-term decrease in connectivity. Multilayer centralities had higher Variable Importance in the Projection scores (VIP) than their monolayer counterpart in explaining variations in $$\alpha$$ α diversity and LCBD for strict aquatic dispersers. Meanwhile, for flying dispersers, monolayer centralities had the highest VIP scores for explaining $$\alpha$$ α diversity. Conclusions This study underscores the relevance of integrating dynamic aspects of water-mediated transport beyond traditional pairwise distances. Although in this study we apply this tool by showcasing the aquatic passive dispersal mode, the application of this method can be extended to other dispersal modes and representative abilities for diverse groups of aquatic organisms. The expanding cross-disciplinary applications and open-source tool development for multilayer networks offer practical implications for planning and evaluating management measures.
AimSeagrass meadows represent a key marine ecosystem owing to the significant biodiversity they host. Protection actions are often implemented without considering connectivity between habitats. In this article, we project and prioritise Mediterranean seagrass habitats (Posidonia oceanica and Cymodocea nodosa) based on their potential as sources/retention and stepping stones for dispersal propagules of the associated biotic communities. We use this information to identify gaps in the protection of highly ranked habitats.LocationMediterranean Sea.MethodsWe related seagrass observations with marine environmental predictors to run species distribution models and infer the distribution of Mediterranean seagrasses. We then used a network‐based approach (CONEFOR) to rank patches of seagrass suitable areas based on their contribution to the seascape in terms of patch area, potential as source/retention of propagules and stepping stone. Finally, by overlaying our ranking with the spatial distribution of marine protected areas (MPAs), we identified potential gaps in the protection of important seagrass habitats across the Mediterranean and its basins.ResultsMost of the identified patches of seagrass suitable areas are not included in MPAs, only reaching a maximum protection coverage of ~50% in the Northwestern Mediterranean. Relatively few patches contribute disproportionately to connectivity, but top‐ranked habitat patches are not included within the existing MPAs network, both at the Mediterranean scale and for most basins. The largest gaps for the source/sink role are in the Aegean and Ionian Sea, and largest gaps for the stepping stone role are in the Adriatic, Ionian and Tyrrhenian Sea.Main ConclusionsOur results suggest that the current MPAs network fails to protect highly relevant patches of seagrass suitable areas in most of the Mediterranean basins. However, this gap could be filled by a few well‐placed MPAs. Overall, we provide novel insights for the identification of key habitats and planning novel coastal MPAs in the region.
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