A B S T R A C T Flow regimes of dry, stratified flow passing over an isolated two-dimensional (2-D) orography mainly concentrate at two stagnation points. One occurs on the upslope of the orography owing to flow blocking; another is related to gravity wave breaking (GWB) over the leeside. Smith (1979) put forward a hypothesis that the occurring of GWB is suppressed when the low-level vertical wind shear (VWS) exceeds some value. In the present study, a theoretical solution in a two-layer linear model of orographic flow with a VWS over a bellshaped 2-D orography is developed to investigate the effect of VWS on GWB's occurring over a range of surface Froude number Fr 0 0U 0 /Nh (U 0 is surface wind speed, h is orography height and N is stability parameter), over which the GWB occurs first and the upstream flow blocking is excluded. Based on previous simulations and experiments, the range of surface Froude number selected is 0.6 5 Fr 0 52.0. Based on this solution, the conditions of surface wind speed (U 0 ) and one-to-one matching critical VWS (Du c ) for GWB's occurring are discussed. Over the selected range of Fr 0 , GWB's occurring will be suppressed if the VWS (Du) is larger than Du c at given U 0 . Moreover, there is a maximum value of Du c over the selected range of Fr 0 , which is labelled as Du max , and its matching surface wind speed by U 0m . Once the Du is larger than Du max , the flow will pass over the orography without GWB's occurring. That means, over the selected range of Fr 0 , the flow regime of 2-D orographic flow related to GWB occurring primarily will be absent when Du ! Du max , regardless of the value for U 0 . In addition, the vertical profile of atmospheric stability and height of VWS could result in different features of mountain wave, which leads to different Du c and Du max for the GWB's occurring. The possible inaccuracy of estimated Du c in the present linear model is also discussed.