When the heat released by a flame is sufficiently in phase with the acoustic pressure, a self-excited thermoacoustic oscillation can arise. These nonlinear oscillations are one of the biggest challenges faced in the design of safe and reliable gas turbines and rocket motors [7]. In the worst-case scenario, uncontrolled thermoacoustic oscillations can shake an engine apart. Reduced-order thermoacoustic models, which are nonlinear and time-delayed, can only qualitatively predict thermoacoustic oscillations. To make reduced-order models quantitatively predictive, we develop a data assimilation framework for state estimation. We numerically estimate the most likely nonlinear state of a Galerkin-discretized time delayed model of a horizontal Rijke tube, which is a prototypical combustor. Data assimilation is an optimal blending of observations with previous system's state estimates (background) to produce optimal initial conditions. A cost functional is defined to measure (i) the statistical distance between the model output and the measurements from experiments; and (ii) the distance between the model's initial conditions and the background knowledge. Its minimum corresponds to the optimal state, which is computed by Lagrangian optimization with the aid of adjoint equations. We study the influence of the number of Galerkin modes, which are the natural acoustic modes of the duct, with which the model is discretized. We show that decomposing the measured pressure signal in a finite number of modes is an effective way to enhance state estimation, especially when nonlinear modal interactions occur during the assimilation window. 2 T. Traverso, L. Magri assimilation to nonlinear thermoacoustics, which opens up new possibilities for real-time calibration of reduced-order models with experimental measurements.We investigate the acoustics of a resonator excited by a heat source, which is a monopole source of sound. The main assumptions of the reduced-order model are [7]: (i) the acoustics evolve on top of a uniform mean flow; (ii) the mean-flow Mach number is negligible, therefore the acoustics are linear and no flow inhomogeneities are convected; (iii) the flow is isentropic except at the heat-source location; (iv) the length of the duct is sufficiently larger than the diameter, such that the cut-on frequency is high, i.e., only longitudinal acoustics are considered;(v) the heat source is compact, i.e., it excites the acoustics at a specific location, x f ; (vi) the boundary conditions are ideal and open-ended, i.e., the acoustic pressure at the ends is zero. Under these assumptions, the non-dimensional momentum and energy equations read, respectively [5]where u is the acoustic velocity; p is the acoustic pressure; t is the time; x is the axial coordinate of the duct; δ D (x − x f ) is the Dirac delta distribution at the heat source location, x f ; ζ is the damping factor, which models the acoustic energy radiation from the boundaries and thermo-viscous losses; andQ is the heat release rate (or, simply, heat release). The h...