2019
DOI: 10.14745/ccdr.v45i05a03
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Weather-based forecasting of mosquito-borne disease outbreaks in Canada

Abstract: Early warning systems to predict infectious disease outbreaks have been identified as a key adaptive response to climate change. Warming, climate variability and extreme weather events associated with climate change are expected to drive an increase in frequency and intensity of mosquito-borne disease (MBD) outbreaks globally. In Canada, this will mean an increased risk of endemic and emerging MBD outbreaks such as West Nile virus and other MBDs. The availability of timely information on the risk of impending … Show more

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Cited by 16 publications
(17 citation statements)
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“…The models show a response of nightly mosquito activity to both temperature, with a strong positive impact, and rain, with a negative impact, which is consistent with the existing literature on mosquito ecology 94 . Differences between mosquito species composition found in bat faeces and in the traps are unlikely to be due to selective behaviour by pipistrelle bats, which are generally regarded as opportunistic 41,42,50 .…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 85%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The models show a response of nightly mosquito activity to both temperature, with a strong positive impact, and rain, with a negative impact, which is consistent with the existing literature on mosquito ecology 94 . Differences between mosquito species composition found in bat faeces and in the traps are unlikely to be due to selective behaviour by pipistrelle bats, which are generally regarded as opportunistic 41,42,50 .…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 85%
“…transmission of West Nile Virus, 12 malaria, 105 dengue, 106 Zika, 107 Tahyna, 108 Tularemia, 109 dog heartworm, 110 mixomatosis 111 or avian malaria), 112 which has considerable impact on human societies and ecosystems. Moreover, in the current global change scenario the impact of mosquito‐borne diseases (MBD) is expected to increase in both frequency and intensity 94 . Rice paddies are especially sensitive areas to control the spread of some of the mentioned infectious diseases, not only because they are particularly prone to host mosquitoes, but because the presence of avifauna might be important in the transmission cycle.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, as pointed out by others [56] the main shift in mosquito feeding from birds to mammals occurred in parallel with the onset of reported human cases (which, in Québec, usually happens during surveillance weeks 28-31 [62]. The date of acquisition of cases reported in human-case surveillance is likely several weeks before the date of reporting in surveillance [63], so while a shift of feeding behavior from birds to mammals (including humans) may contribute to the seasonal pattern of WNV infection in humans, it is unlikely to be the main cause.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 95%
“…Quanto à segunda alternativa (humedecimento das paredes) resulta da ideia de que na época quente a propagação do mosquito é maior que na fria. Na verdade, esse entendimento é consubstanciado por Ogden et al (15), ao afirmarem que a temperatura afeta a taxa de desenvolvimento de ovos dos mosquitos, larvas e pupas, com temperaturas mais quentes a acelerarem o ciclo de vida do mosquito bem como a rapidez com que os mosquitos adultos se multiplicam (16). Essa ideia é também secundada por Marinho et al (17), ao referirem que as temperaturas de 10°C ou menos limitam o desenvolvimento larval e a sobrevivência do mosquito adulto, enquanto as temperaturas que variam de 22° C a 32° C constituem-se ideais para o desenvolvimento, longevidade e fecundidade dos mosquitos.…”
Section: Discussionunclassified