Web-GIS for the solution of tasks of the ecologo-geographical analysis and modeling: new opportunities

Afonin, Alexander N.; Sevryukov, Sergei Yu.; Solovyov, Pavel A.; Luneva, N. N.

doi:10.21638/11701/spbu07.2016.408

Cited by 2 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…The ecological model used for forecasting distribution was created and described in more detail in a previous work (Afonin et al, 2016). It was developed using the species distribution modelling method introduced by Nix (1986).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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History of introduction and distribution of common ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia L.) in the European part of the Russian Federation and in the Ukraine

et al. 2018

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Ambrosia artemisiifolia L. (common ragweed) is an invasive alien plant (IAP) in the European part of the Russian Federation and in the Ukraine. Ragweed was introduced into the territory of Western Europe between 1860 and 1870 together with red clover seeds delivered from America, and has since spread and become a nuisance weed in agricultural land and disturbed habitats. This study presents a detailed overview of the history of introduction and distribution of this IAP in the territory of Russia and neighbouring countries. A map has been created to show species distribution dynamics in the European part of Russia and neighbouring countries from initial foci of introduction to date. A detailed map of current distribution in Russia and the Ukraine has also been created. The rate of expansion during the different time periods was calculated and compared with recent species distribution modelling allowing future spatial spread of ragweed to be forecast. In the European part of Russia, and in the Ukraine, the species has almost reached the edge of its environmental limitations and further expansion to the northern regions is expected to slow down.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A distribution model of the species was made based on data about ragweed distribution in its native territory, i.e. North America (Afonin et al, 2016). It is likely that during many centuries of evolution ragweed has filled all the possible niches in the territory where it originated.…”

Section: Current State Of the Distributionmentioning

confidence: 99%

History of introduction and distribution of common ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia L.) in the European part of the Russian Federation and in the Ukraine

et al. 2018

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Prototype Spatio-temporal Predictive System of pest development of the codling moth, Cydia pomonella, in Kazakhstan

Afonin

Kopzhassarov

Milyutina

et al. 2019

Hellenic Plant Protection Journal

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SummaryA prototype for pest development stages forecasting is developed in Kazakhstan exploiting data from the geoinformation technologies and using codling moth as a model pest in apples. The basic methodology involved operational thermal map retrieving based on MODIS land surface temperature products and weather stations data, their recalculation into accumulated degree days maps and then into maps of the phases of the codling moth population dynamics. The validation of the predicted dates of the development stages according to the in-situ data gathered in the apple orchards showed a good predictivity of the forecast maps. Predictivity of the prototype can be improved by using daily satellite sensor datasets and their calibration with data received from a network of weather stations installed in the orchards.

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Web-GIS for the solution of tasks of the ecologo-geographical analysis and modeling: new opportunities

Cited by 2 publications

References 0 publications

History of introduction and distribution of common ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia L.) in the European part of the Russian Federation and in the Ukraine

History of introduction and distribution of common ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia L.) in the European part of the Russian Federation and in the Ukraine

Prototype Spatio-temporal Predictive System of pest development of the codling moth, Cydia pomonella, in Kazakhstan

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