In typical leak-before-break (LBB) analyses in the nuclear industry, the uncracked piping normal operating forces and moments are applied in a cracked-pipe analytical procedure to determine normal leakage, and the combined forces and moments under normal operating condition and safe shutdown earthquake seismic loading are used in a fracture analysis to predict margins on "failure".
The International Piping Integrity Research Program (IPIRG) performed in 1990 to 1998 provided some insights to typical LBB behaviors where pipe system tests were conducted with simulated seismic loadings. The test results showed a large margin on LBB which was also recognized in 2011 when the Argentinian Atucha II plant was analyzed using a robust full FE model. It was found that when circumferential through-wall cracks were put in the highest stressed locations, the applied moment dropped for both normal operating and N+SSE loading as the crack length increased. The through-wall crack size for causing a double ended guillotine break (DEGB) was greater than 90%-percent of the circumference. Similar results were also found for a petrochemical pipe system where thermal expansion stresses are much higher than the primary stresses. Even with very low toughness materials, the critical crack size leading to DEGB was greater than 80% of the circumference.
The implication of this work is that pragmatically there is much higher margin for DEGB failure in nuclear plant operation, and efforts would be better focused on the potential for a small-break loss-of-coolant accident (SB-LOCA).