What do voters do when they prefer a leader from another party?

Daoust, Jean-François; Blais, André; Péloquin-Skulski, Gabrielle

doi:10.1177/1354068819845100

Cited by 12 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 32 publications

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“…We exclude regions for the sake of parsimony, but it is worth noting that their inclusion does not alter our findings.11 The question was: "Which party did you vote for?" It is not impossible that some people vote for a particular local candidate or a preferred leader from another party, but it is not the case for the vast majority of voters(Blais and Daoust 2017;Daoust et al 2020).12 Compared to actual electoral outcomes, the PLQ and the CAQ are slightly underestimated, which is common in pre-election forecasting and does not entail major implications for statistical inferences(Durand 2013;Pinard 2005).…”

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confidence: 99%

Nationalist and cosmopolitan approaches to the nation: a citizen’s perspective and its electoral impact

Cossette-Lefebvre

Daoust

2020

Fr Polit

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Whether it is about Québec independence, French language or immigration, nationalism is a crucial feature of Québec politics. The Québec 2018 election is not an exception. Scholars have developed theories about individual identity, the nation and nationhood, but we lack a citizens' perspective. We provide the first thorough description of Quebeckers' nationalism, which reveals a roughly normal (i.e. nonpolarized) distribution of ethnic nationalism attitudes. Most importantly, we measure ethnic nationalism with a never tested measure in Québec and we show that it substantially explains vote choice in the Québec 2018 election-especially the support for the Coalition Avenir Québec. Our research builds bridges between debates in political philosophy and political science and deepens our understanding of the Québec 2018 election.

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confidence: 99%

Nationalist and cosmopolitan approaches to the nation: a citizen’s perspective and its electoral impact

Cossette-Lefebvre

Daoust

2020

Fr Polit

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“…Political leaders have gained increasing relevance for the electoral success of their parties over the last few decades (Garzia 2011;Lobo and Curtice 2014;Lobo 2018;Lobo and Ferreira da Silva 2017;Garzia et al 2018;Garzia and Ferreira da Silva 2021). The increasing personalization of the electoral field, which is controversially related to the presidentialization of political life (Poguntke and Webb 2005) as the prime minister or the cabinet have gained political powers, is the result of at least three trends (McAllister 2007;Karvonen 2010;Garzia 2011;Daoust et al 2021). The first is the growing importance of electronic media, especially television, for political communication, which focus on leaders or persons rather than on parties.…”

Section: Leaders Emotions and Voters' Choicementioning

confidence: 99%

Direct and Indirect Effects of Emotions towards Party Leaders on Voting: Evidence from the 2018 Andalusian Regional Election

Cazorla Martín,

Ortega,

Montabes

2023

Social Sciences

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Party leaders are increasingly relevant to voters’ choices in parliamentary systems. However, most studies addressing the electoral impact of leaders have largely ignored voters’ emotional responses to party leaders. Additionally, little is known about the effect of party leaders in subnational or regional elections. Using data from a specific election survey, this article examines the effect of emotions towards party leaders on regional voting. It assesses whether emotional responses to party leaders not only have direct effects, but whether they also have indirect effects through partisanship on voting. We found evidence that emotions towards party leaders have both direct and indirect effects through partisanship on vote choice.

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“…For this group, we cannot ascertain whether party or leader motivations are more important. Finally, incongruent voters are respondents who did not rank either the party or the leader of the party they voted for as their favorite (for similar approaches of classification, see Blais and Gschwend, 2010; Daoust et al, 2021; Quinlan and O’Malley, 2018). For a concrete example of this classification scheme, please consult Appendix E.…”

Section: Identifying Leader Inclined Votingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Leader or party? Quantifying and exploring behavioral personalization 1996–2019

Quinlan

McAllister

2021

Party Politics

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It has become almost a truism that parliamentary elections have become more personalized. However, evidence for this proposition among voters is relatively mixed and we lack a quantification of leader inspired voting. Using data from Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES) project and consistent measures of leader and party popularity across 86 parliamentary elections in 31 polities between 1996 and 2019, we break new ground in the study of behavioral personalization in several respects. First, we provide a consistent and longitudinal test of leader inclined voting, separate from party evaluations, in the form of a vote-leader/party favorite alignment index. Our results show 6% of voters align their vote with their favorite leader solely, and one in five voters align their vote primarily with their favorite leader. While significant, more voters align their vote with their favorite party. Second, we find that leader motivated voting is most prevalent among non-partisans, older voters, and in elections where ideological polarization is low. Third, we demonstrate that voters solely motivated by leaders are most likely to switch their votes between elections. Our results have implications for our understanding of leaders’ impact on elections.

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What do voters do when they prefer a leader from another party?

Cited by 12 publications

References 32 publications

Nationalist and cosmopolitan approaches to the nation: a citizen’s perspective and its electoral impact

Nationalist and cosmopolitan approaches to the nation: a citizen’s perspective and its electoral impact

Direct and Indirect Effects of Emotions towards Party Leaders on Voting: Evidence from the 2018 Andalusian Regional Election

Leader or party? Quantifying and exploring behavioral personalization 1996–2019

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