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Depot-Based Vehicle Data for National Analysis of Medium- and Heavy-Duty Electric Vehicle Charging

“…A transition to BEVs could potentially occur for financial reasons alone, but substantial uncertainty remains. One recent study projects BEVs could reach 40% of total MHDV sales in the United States by 2030 and 83% of sales (66% of vehicle stock) in 2050 based solely on total cost of ownership considerations [3], but another projection suggests that all zero-emissions technologies combined (including non-BEV technologies) may be only 32% of global MHDV stock in 2050 without "strong additional measures" [4]. Public policy has begun to address these uncertainties, with California recently establishing a state-level requirement that zero-emissions technologies make up 100% of MHDV stock where feasible by 2045 [5].…”