The belief that consumer confidence exerts a positive effect on conspicuous consumption has been propagated by prominent research and consultancy firms (e.g., Boston Consulting Group, 2020;Euromonitor, 2020; McKinsey & Company, 2020). Amid a precipitous decline in global consumer confidence (Financial Times, 2020), Felsted (2020) opines that "in leaner times, luxury tends to become more discreet and that's a worry for those brands that have made the logo, such as Gucci's double G, a key element of their look". But is there really a link between consumer confidence and conspicuous consumption? If so, which psychological mechanisms underlie this relationship?Examining the relationship between consumer confidence and conspicuous consumption is important for two main reasons. First, conspicuous consumption has salient downstream consequences for a range of stakeholders, including economists, marketers and sociologists. From an economic perspective, conspicuous consumption is worth approximately US$290 billion to the global economy (Goenka & Thomas, 2020). From a marketing perspective, changes in consumer proclivity towards conspicuous consumption have implications for branding (Jacob et al., 2020), product design (Greenberg et al., 2020), pricing (Rao & Schaefer, 2013) and even front-line employee dress codes (Mende et al., 2018). From a social perspective, conspicuous consumption associates with a range of consequences, including environmental issues (McCollough, 2020), crime (Mejia & Restrepo, 2016), social relationships (Cannon & Rucker, 2019) and other behaviours subject to moral judgement (Goenka & Thomas, 2020). Therefore, tracking trends in consumer confidence data have the potential to help relevant stakeholders anticipate and perhaps mitigate, changes in these important issues.Second, research on the nomological network of consumer confidence is required amid debate about its efficacy as a predictor of consumer behaviour. Although a substantial body of research empirically demonstrates the predictive validity of consumer confi-