Who's Afraid of Population Decline? A Critical Examination of Its Consequences

Coleman, David; Rowthorn, Robert

doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2011.00385.x

Cited by 127 publications

(108 citation statements)

References 62 publications

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“…The debate among scholars is marked by optimists and pessimists regarding the prospect of population decline. We will not review the entire literature and history surrounding the issue of decline (see Coleman and Rowthorn (2011) for a more detailed discussion of that point, and Winter 1985, 1998), but we will briefly highlight the main theoretical strands, and use these insights as a guide to understanding how people make their assessments.…”

Section: Population Decline and Theorymentioning

confidence: 99%

Who fears and who welcomes population decline?

Dalen¹,

Henkens²

2011

DemRes

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Section: Population Decline and Theorymentioning

confidence: 99%

Who fears and who welcomes population decline?

Dalen¹,

Henkens²

2011

DemRes

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“…Los argumentos económicos a favor del crecimiento demográfico se basan en la reducción de los mercados y su efecto deprimente sobre la inversión-innovación (Coleman & Rowthorn, 2011), refiriéndose a la infraestructura empresarial, donde el stock de capital tiene una larga vida útil, y si la población crece rápidamente, las empresas pueden construir adelantándose a la demanda, por lo que la capacidad instalada se infra-utiliza inicialmente, pero se va utilizando más y más, a medida que aumenta la población, razón por la cual la perspectiva de crecimiento futuro hace que los inversores sean más aventureros a la espera de ventas mayores. Pero, cuando la población y demanda se contraen secuencialmente, sucede todo lo contrario, ya que la utilización de la capacidad instalada disminuye a medida que cae el número de usuarios, por ende, los inversores se mostrarán reacios a adquirir maquinarias de mayor productividad y producción porque les preocupa el exceso de su capacidad instalada futura.…”

Section: Consecuencias Económicas En El Pib Del Decrecimiento Poblaciunclassified

Consecuencias económicas en el Producto Interno Bruto del decrecimiento poblacional en los países que atraviesan la fase final de su transición demográfica

Correa

Cueva

Gonzalez

2017

MSKN

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Consecuencias económicas en el Producto Interno Bruto del decrecimiento poblacional en los países que atraviesan la fase final de su transición demográfica RESUMENLos países se han caracterizado por crecer demográficamente desde fines del siglo 18 hasta las últimas décadas del siglo 20, cuando algunas naciones más bien empezaron a estabilizarse e incluso a disminuir sus poblaciones, pasando por diferentes etapas del modelo de transición demográfica, debido a que las tasas de fertilidad son menores a los niveles de reemplazo de la población, ocasionando preocupación a los gobiernos que están conviviendo con este fenómeno, sobre todo en relación al posible declive de sus economías. Este estudio demuestra que si las economías logran mantenerse estables, entonces las consecuencias económicas del detrimento poblacional, pese a ser negativas desde el punto de vista macro, son positivas para los hogares, causando que el subempleo y desempleo disminuyan, generándose mejores ingresos y más consumo para las familias; y mientras más pronto los gobiernos se preparen y ajusten sus economías, las sociedades podrán adaptarse mejor a este cambio demográfico que inevitablemente ocurrirá en todas partes, a medida que avance el proceso de urbanización durante este siglo y el próximo. Palabras clave: Modelo de transición demográfico, tasas de fertilidad, inmigración, despoblamiento, producto interno bruto. ABSTRACTCountries have been characterized by demographic growth since the end of the 18th century until the last decades of the 20th century, when some nations began to stabilize and even decrease their populations. Those countries went through the different stages of the demographic transition model, because fertility rates decreased below the replacement levels of the population, causing concern to the governments of those countries, especially in relation to the possible decline of their economies. This study shows that rather the economic consequences of a decline in population, despite being negative from the macro point of view, are positive for households, if the economies manage to remain stable. The dwindling down of the population shall cause underemployment and unemployment to decrease, generating better income and more consumption for families. The sooner governments prepare and adjust their economies, societies will be better prepared to adapt to this demographic change that will inevitably occur everywhere, as the urbanization process advances during this century and the next one.

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“…Within such groups, there has been an ongoing trend of 'sub-replacement' fertility 1 in many Western countries for decades, a pattern beginning to be reproduced only recently in developing contexts (Coleman & Rowthorn, 2011;Goldstein, Lutz, & Testa, 2003). This means that increases in vasectomy have occurred within a context where family sizes are reducing, and in fact there are reasonable numbers of people choosing not to have children at all (Gillespie, 2003;Mawson, 2006;Rowlands & Lee, 2006;Terry & Braun, 2011c).…”

Section: Vasectomy Uptake and Masculine Sense-makingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“We have friends, for example, and he will not get a vasectomy”: Imagining the self in relation to others when talking about sterilization.

Terry

Braun

2013

Health Psychology

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Objective: The relatively recent interest in critical men's health research has largely focused upon men's experiences of managing or preventing ill health. There has been limited discussion on the decision making that men engage in with health practices that are not constructed as immediately imperative for their own well-being -such as vasectomy. Much of the research on vasectomy has tended to focus on the individualised decision making men, which can often decontextualize the process. This article seeks to address some of these absences.Design: This article reports on data from semi-structured interviews with twenty eight men who had had vasectomies (16 with children, 12 without). Data were analysed using Wetherell and Edley's synthetic approach to discourse analysis.Results: Talking about vasectomy provided an opportunity for men to make sense of the self and the decision making processes within a complex and relational understanding of masculinities.Rather than an individualised decision making process, many of the men's accounts were reliant on stories of other men who the participants could be compared against.Conclusions: Men made sense of an 'optional' health decision in relation to other men (both real and imagined), in order to help justify delays, or other 'trouble' in the decision making processes. Men's health initiatives and research may need to take this relational component of health decision-making into account.2

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Who's Afraid of Population Decline? A Critical Examination of Its Consequences

Abstract: P o P u l at i o n a n d d e v e l o P m e n t r e v i e w 3 7 ( S u P P l e m e n t ) : 2 1 7 -2 4 8 ( 2 0 1 1 ) 2 1 7

Cited by 127 publications

References 62 publications

Who fears and who welcomes population decline?

Who fears and who welcomes population decline?

Consecuencias económicas en el Producto Interno Bruto del decrecimiento poblacional en los países que atraviesan la fase final de su transición demográfica

“We have friends, for example, and he will not get a vasectomy”: Imagining the self in relation to others when talking about sterilization.

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