“…While skills are almost certainly a constraint for a population with the lowest average schooling levels in the world, entrepreneurship and job training programs have an uneven record in contexts with little formal employment (Kluve et al, 2017;McKenzie, 2021). Credit constraints also certainly play a role, but while a large literature has shown that cash transfers are invested in productive assets in the short term (Blattman et al, 2013;Gertler et al, 2012;Haushofer and Shapiro, 2016;De Mel et al, 2012), the ability of transfers to affect durable improvements in productivity is more uncertain (Aizer et al, 2016;Baird et al, 2019;Balboni et al, 2022;Blattman et al, 2018;Brudevold-Newman et al, 2017;Hoynes et al, 2016). More broadly, it is possible that macro-level constraints to demand or to the scope for business expansion fundamentally limit the extent to which the informal sector can provide a pathway out of poverty (La Porta and Shleifer, 2014).…”