2020
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0237234
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Will China's fertilizer use continue to decline? Evidence from LMDI analysis based on crops, regions and fertilizer types

Abstract: China implemented the Action Plan for the Zero Increase of Fertilizer Use in 2015, which led to a decrease in fertilizer use. However, Will fertilizer use continue to reduce? With data obtained from 2006 to 2017, the paper used the logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) method to analyze the scale effect, intensity effect and structural effect of fertilizer use change in China from three aspects: crops, regions and fertilizer types. Our finding suggests that (1) The intensity effect was the most critical factor… Show more

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Cited by 33 publications
(15 citation statements)
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“…Lastly, the observed tradeoffs between grain yield and N leaching under high N rates underscore the need for more efficient use of N inputs in order to meet growing cereal demand and combat the trend of increasing global N consumption in agriculture (Bodirsky et (Bauwe et al 2020), where uncontrollable factors of weather and precipitation regulate N losses more than management practices or soil properties. Given the urgent need to decrease the environmental footprint of food production, local and national plans are being developed to reduce nutrient losses as a key pillar of agricultural sustainability, including in the European Union (EU Commission 1991Commission , 2000, China (Ji et al 2020) and the U.S. (USDA 2021). Early adoption of policies in Europe has successfully reduced discharges of N loads in the coasts of the Netherlands (Fraters et al 2021) or the Baltic Sea (Iho et al 2015).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Lastly, the observed tradeoffs between grain yield and N leaching under high N rates underscore the need for more efficient use of N inputs in order to meet growing cereal demand and combat the trend of increasing global N consumption in agriculture (Bodirsky et (Bauwe et al 2020), where uncontrollable factors of weather and precipitation regulate N losses more than management practices or soil properties. Given the urgent need to decrease the environmental footprint of food production, local and national plans are being developed to reduce nutrient losses as a key pillar of agricultural sustainability, including in the European Union (EU Commission 1991Commission , 2000, China (Ji et al 2020) and the U.S. (USDA 2021). Early adoption of policies in Europe has successfully reduced discharges of N loads in the coasts of the Netherlands (Fraters et al 2021) or the Baltic Sea (Iho et al 2015).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As China became the world's largest producer and consumer of P fertilizers, the Ministry of Agriculture of China implemented the Action Plan for the Zero Increase of Fertilizer Use by 2020. Since enacted in 2015, fertilizer use has decreased and projections expect the trend will continue (Ji et al, 2020). To do so while meeting P demands, Shen et al (2019) present a conceptual model to systematically address sustainable P management in the upstream and downstream sectors of agriculture from mineral extraction to food consumption which calls upon strong environmental protection and P resources management policies, as well as strong agricultural science and technology innovation and service policies.…”
Section: Challenge Identification and Niche Opportunitymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…1). After 2015, fertilizer N consumption in East Asia started declining because China, the major fertilizer N consuming country, recognized the seriousness of the overuse of fertilizers and introduced the action plan for zero growth of fertilizer use [6]. The changes in fertilizer N consumption patterns in different parts of the world have discernible impacts on nitrate pollution of ground and surface water bodies in different regions.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%