“…We hypothesized that F I G U R E 1 Adult male Wilson's warbler in California's Sierra Nevada. Photography credit: Gabriel Gonzalez breeding productivity would depend on drought conditions on the wintering grounds (a carry-over effect) and on spring temperature (Saracco, Siegel, Helton, Stock, & DeSante, 2019;Socolar, Epanchin, Beissinger, & Tingley, 2017) and that adult survival would depend on winter drought and wind conditions during spring migration (Drake, Rock, Quinlan, Martin, & Green, 2014;Huang, Bishop, McKibbin, Drake, & Green, 2017;LaManna, George, Saracco, Nott, & DeSante, 2012). We used transient life table response experiments (LTREs) to decompose variation in population growth rates among vital rate and demographic structure components and to examine how these demographic contributions depended on climate covariates (Koons, Arnold, & Schaub, 2017;Koons, Iles, Schaub, & Caswell, 2016).…”