2021
DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.12.003
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Words and deeds in managing expectations: Empirical evidence from an inflation targeting economy

Abstract: Introduction 2 Data description 2.1 Private sector expectations 2.2 Central bank instruments 2.2.1 Monetary policy shock 2.2.2 Central bank tone shock2.2.3 Central bank projections 3 Empirical analysis 3.1 Model of expectations formation 3.2 Overview of the main results 3.2.1 The role of monetary policy actions 3.2.2 The role of central bank macroeconomic projections 3.2.3 The role of textual content of monetary policy minutes 3.2.4 The role of macroeconomic surprises 3.3 Robustness 3.3.1 An alternative measur… Show more

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Cited by 25 publications
(25 citation statements)
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“…This would result in higher levels of IA quality and more effective implementation of TQM for the whole organisation, if organisations exploit the alignment between TQM and QAIP. This is particularly important for central banks, that are asked to achieve increasingly higher levels of effectiveness, given the outstanding importance of their policy objectives (Bernanke, 2020;Hartley and Rebucci, 2020;Baranowski et al, 2021).…”
Section: Qaip and Tqmmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This would result in higher levels of IA quality and more effective implementation of TQM for the whole organisation, if organisations exploit the alignment between TQM and QAIP. This is particularly important for central banks, that are asked to achieve increasingly higher levels of effectiveness, given the outstanding importance of their policy objectives (Bernanke, 2020;Hartley and Rebucci, 2020;Baranowski et al, 2021).…”
Section: Qaip and Tqmmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It is worth noting that inflation expectations are at the core of modern macroeconomic theory and are an important determinant of economic fluctuations including stock prices. Therefore, managing expectations is crucial in modern monetary policy (Baranowski et al, 2021). The New Keynesian models (for example, refer to a recent paper of Sims et al, 2021) are widely used in central banking.…”
Section: The Mechanismmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Hubert and Labondance (2021) report that that the FOMC statements explain monetary surprises beyond policy announcements and Gonzalez and Tadle (2021) find that the press releases of most central banks converge during periods of international crises. Baranowski et al (2021) use survey data to analyze the expectation channel of monetary policy and find that the impact differs for interest rate and inflation expectations.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Hubert and Labondance (2021) report that that the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statements explain monetary surprises beyond policy announcements. Baranowski et al (2021) use survey data to analyze the expectation channel of monetary policy and find a significant impact on the interest rate and inflation expectations. As specified by Schmeling and Wagner (2019), the central bank communication impacts market expectations and thus can be associated with the market return.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%