Виконання Експортного Потенціалу Сільськогосподарського Виробництва В Контексті Загострення Світової Кризи Продуктів

Abstract

Abstract. The aim of the research is to study the nature, main trends and problematic aspects of fulfilling the export potential of agricultural production in the context of aggravating food crisis. Theoretical and empirical methods of cognition in their dialectical combination are used. The main methods used in this study are statistical analysis, index, graphical and analytical methods, methods for estimating structural dynamic shifts, comparisons and monographic method. The study also involved general methods of economic research, in particular: in disclosing the content of the export potential of agricultural production, formulating conclusions used theoretical generalization and comparison, induction and deduction; by means of synthesis and the economic analysis the estimation of a modern condition and tendencies of development of export of agricultural products is carried out; graphic, economic, statistical and interstate comparisons were used to analyze the export of agricultural products; to assess the domestic and external export potential of agricultural products in the regional context, statistical methods (grouping) were implemented. The influence of external and domestic export potential on wheat exports was studied by regression analysis. The need to ensure food security by countries around the world urges the importance of the agricultural sector as a catalyst for economic development, sources of foreign exchange earnings, investment direction, etc. The study of agricultural specialization led to the conclusion that wheat and sugar are goods with the highest export potential. It is substantiated that the countries of South America, OECD, North America and Europe have the highest level of realization of export potential of agricultural production, and African countries are import-dependent. In addition, the low export orientation of Africa and Asia due to the peculiarities of their natural and climatic conditions is established based on the assessment of export-import operations in the regional context. The internal and external export potential of each of the regions is analysed. Economic and mathematical simulation of assessing the impact of the most important factors on the wheat exports volumes was applied, which allowed predicting wheat exports volume and making sound management decisions regarding the realization of the export potential of agricultural companies. The inverse correlation between the exports volume and wheat consumption per capita, and the direct correlation between the effective size and area of land used for wheat cultivation was established through the correlation and regression analysis. The scientific novelty of the results of the study is that for the first time a holistic analysis of the potential capacity and ability to export existing and increase exports of agricultural products in the world and by product groups. The essence and features of economic representation of export potential of agricultural products at the international and national levels are determined. The main factors influencing the development of the export potential of agricultural products in the regional context are outlined and their influence is investigated by carrying out the corresponding aggression analysis. The study of domestic and foreign export potential by regions of the world was further developed. The audit of the internal and external export potential of agricultural ovaries in the regional context was carried out, as a result of which the main recommendations for raising their level in order to enhance the development of the agro-industrial sector of the economy were identified.
 Keywords: export potential, agricultural production, exports, integration, food security.
 JEL Classification Q17, P45
 Formulas: 1; fig.: 7; tabl.: 5; bibl.: 26.