BackgroundThe value of joint ultrasonography (US) in the prediction of clinical arthritis in individuals at risk of developing rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is still a point of debate, due to varying scanning protocols and different populations. We investigated whether US abnormalities assessed with a standard joint protocol can predict development of arthritis in seropositive patients with arthralgia.MethodsAnti-citrullinated protein antibodies and/or rheumatoid factor positive patients with arthralgia, but without clinical arthritis were included. US was performed at baseline in 16 joints: bilateral metacarpophalangeal 2–3, proximal interphalangeal 2–3, wrist and metatarsophalangeal (MTP) joints 2–3 and 5. Images were scored semi-quantitatively for synovial thickening and for positive signs on power Doppler (PD). Association between US abnormalities and arthritis development at the joint and at the patient level was evaluated. Also, we investigated the added value of US over clinical parameters.ResultsOut of 163 patients who underwent US examination, 51 (31%) developed clinical arthritis after a median follow-up time of 12 (interquartile range 5–24) months, of which 44 (86%) satisfied the 2010 American College of Rheumatology/European League Against Rheumatism classification criteria for RA. US revealed synovial thickening and PD in at least one joint in 49 patients (30%) and 7 patients (4%), respectively. Synovial thickening was associated with both development and timing of clinical arthritis in any joint (patient level) when MTP joints were excluded from the US assessment (odds ratio 6.6, confidence interval (CI) 1.9–22), and hazard ratio 3.4, CI 1.6–6.8, respectively, with a mean time to arthritis of 23 versus 45 months when synovial thickening was present versus not present). There was no association between US and arthritis development at the joint level. Predictive capacity was highest in the groups with an intermediate and high risk of developing arthritis based on a prediction rule with clinical parameters.ConclusionsSynovial thickening on US predicted clinical arthritis development at the patient level in seropositive patients with arthralgia when MTPs were excluded from the US assessment. Positive PD signs were infrequently seen in these at-risk individuals and was not predictive. In patients at intermediate risk of RA, US may help to identify those at higher risk of developing arthritis.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (10.1186/s13075-018-1767-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Objective RA is associated with higher risk of cardiovascular (CV) disease. Ongoing systemic inflammation is presumed to accelerate atherosclerosis by increasing inflammation in the arterial wall. However, evidence supporting this hypothesis is limited. We aimed to investigate arterial wall inflammation in RA vs OA, and its association with markers of inflammation and CV risk factors. Methods 18-fluorodeoxyglucose PET combined with CT (18F-FDG-PET/CT) was performed in RA (n = 61) and OA (n = 28) to investigate inflammatory activity in the wall of large arteries. Secondary analyses were performed in patients with early untreated RA (n = 30), and established RA, active under DMARD treatment (n = 31) vs OA. Results Patients with RA had significantly higher 18F-FDG uptake in the wall of the carotid arteries (beta 0.27, 95%CI 0.11—0.44, P <0.01) and the aorta (beta 0.47, 95%CI 0.17—0.76, P <0.01) when compared with OA, which persisted after adjustment for traditional CV risk factors. Patients with early RA had the highest 18F-FDG uptake, followed by patients with established RA and OA respectively. Higher ESR and DAS of 28 joints values were associated with higher 18F-FDG uptake in all arterial segments. Conclusion Patients with RA have increased 18F-FDG uptake in the arterial wall compared with patients with OA, as a possible marker of early atherosclerosis. Furthermore, a higher level of clinical disease activity and circulating inflammatory markers was associated with higher arterial 18F-FDG uptake, which may support a role of arterial wall inflammation in the pathogenesis of vascular complications in patients with RA.

Objectives To investigate the reliability and validity of fluorine-18 fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET-CT scanning (FDG-PET) in RA patients with low disease activity tapering TNF inhibitors (TNFis) and its predictive value for successful tapering or discontinuation. Methods Patients in the tapering arm of the Dose REduction Strategies of Subcutaneous TNFi study, a randomized controlled trial of TNFi tapering in RA, underwent FDG-PET before tapering (baseline) and after maximal tapering. A total of 48 joints per scan were scored both visually [FDG-avid joint (FAJ), yes/no] and quantitatively [maximal and mean standardized uptake values (SUVmax and SUVmean)]. Interobserver agreement was calculated in 10 patients at baseline. Quantitative and visual FDG-PET scores were investigated for (multilevel) association with clinical parameters both on a joint and patient level and for the predictive value at baseline and the change between baseline and maximal tapering (Δ) for successful tapering and discontinuation at 18 months. Results A total of 79 patients underwent FDG-PET. For performance of identification of FAJs on PET, Cohen’s κ was 0.49 (range 0.35–0.63). For SUVmax and SUVmean, intraclass correlation coefficients were 0.80 (range 0.77–0.83) and 0.96 (0.9–1.0), respectively. On a joint level, swelling was significantly associated with SUVmax and SUVmean [B coefficients 1.0 (95% CI 0.73, 1.35) and 0.2 (0.08, 0.32), respectively]. On a patient level, only correlation with acute phase reactants was found. FDG-PET scores were not predictive of successful tapering or discontinuation. Conclusions Quantitative FDG-PET arthritis scoring in RA patients with low disease activity is reliable and has some construct validity. However, no predictive values were found for FDG-PET parameters for successful tapering and/or discontinuation of TNFi.