The article analyzes 183924 case of death of the population in the Tula region from the mortality register from 2007 to 2013. Quantitative assessment of mortality as a percentage of the total number of cases for blocks of three-digit rubric of ICD-X shows that coronary heart disease is 31,507%, cerebrovascular disease – 22,710%, malignant neoplasms of digestive organs – 5,336%, other heart disease – 3,686, liver disease – 2,848%, diabetes – 2,658%, malignant neoplasms, respiratory organs and thorax cells – 2,607%, toxic substances, mainly non-medical purposes (including alcohol) – 2,252%, other and unspecified effects of external causes – 2,069%, chronic diseases of the lower respiratory tract – 1,870%.It is shown that ischemic heart disease was increased until 2010 and thereafter began to decline, reaching approximately the initial level. It is noted that cerebrovascular diseases decrease every year, and malignant neoplasms of digestive organs increase. Coronary heart disease for men is different from women significantly fewer and increased mortality in the age groups 45- 54, 55-64 and 65-74.

A multivariate analysis of mortality of inhabitants of the Tula region from diabetes was carried out. In the analysis the authors used data from the register of population mortality 184 646 deaths for the period 2007 to 2013; in 3424 cases the initial cause of death was diabetes mellitus. The reliability of the coding of multiple causes of death was achieved by the module acme.exe (CDC, USA) automatically determination of the initial cause of death register of death, and by analytical testing. On the basis of these data using the upgraded version of the algebraic model of constructive logic, the authors created a mathematical model. Analysis of the obtained mathematical model demonstrates that the mortality of women of 20.9 times higher than the mortality of men, 36.7% were between the ages of 60-64 years and 31.7% were aged 70-74 years. Women in a registered marriage, died a decade early in comparison with unmarried, mostly aged 60-64 years - 49,2%, 65-69 years is 14.5%, 70-74 years - 18.7%. Among unmarried women, the critical age was five years from 70-74 years, death occurred in 56.1% of women. Women (among married women 67,7% and among unmarried 61.4%) had no education. There was greatest number of deaths among women with the general education, among men with professional primary education. The greatest number of deaths was in married women with general basic education.