The growth of Staphylococcus aureus in commercially available vacuum-packaged cooked ham, turkey breast meat, and chicken breast meat stored at 2.3, 6.5, 10, 13.5, and 17.7 degrees C was studied. Growth rates observed in these food products were compared with those predicted on the basis of various growth models found in the literature and with those generated by the Pathogen Modeling Program and the Food MicroModel software using graphical and mathematical analysis for performance evaluation. In general, the models studied overestimated the growth of S. aureus. The Dengremont and Membré model most closely matched the observed behavior of S. aureus in ham and chicken breast meat, with bias factors of 1.56 and 1.09, respectively. The Eifert et al. model accurately described the growth of S. aureus in turkey breast meat, with a bias factor of 1.51. The remaining models provided safe predictions of the growth rate of S. aureus, but with poor accuracy. Predictive microbiology models have an immediate practical application in improving microbial food safety and quality and are very useful decision support tools, but they should not be used as the sole determinant of product safety.

The combined effect of different temperatures (7 to 19 degrees C), pH levels (4.5 to 8.5), sodium chloride levels (0 to 8%), and sodium nitrite levels (0 to 200 ppm) on the predicted growth rate and lag time of Staphylococcus aureus under aerobic and anaerobic conditions was studied. The two predictive models developed, response surface (RS) and the Davey model, provided reliable estimates of the two kinetic parameters studied. The RS provided better predictions of maximum specific growth rate, with bias factors of 1.06 and 1.31 and accuracy factors of 1.17 and 1.37, respectively, in aerobic and anaerobic conditions. The Davey model performed more accurately for lag time, with a bias factor of 1.12 and an accuracy factor of 1.49, for both aerobic and anaerobic conditions. Predictive growth models are a valuable tool, enabling swift determination of Staphylococcus aureus growth rate and lag time. These data are essential for ensuring staphylococcus-related quality and safety of food products.

m e shelf-life of vacuum packed, sliced, cooked chicken-breast based on sensory and microbial changes as afunction of temperature (2.3, 6.5, 10, 13.5 and I7.7C) was determined. Sensory evaluation and a microbiological study charted the development of lactic acid and psychotropic bacteria and of Brochothrix thermosphacta. Six different sensory methods were used to estimate product shelf-life; of these, the method based on average smell and taste was deemed the most suitable, since these parameters had a greater impact on shelf-life. From a microbiological point of view, mean shelf-life times were estimated at each temperature and compared with the estimates of the tasting panel. In the samples stored at the three lowest study temperatures (2.3, 6.5 and IOC), lactic acid and psychotropic bacteria counts of ld-l@ cfu/g were not achieved; this agrees with the absence of sensory rejection at the end of the experiment. At 13.5 and I7.7C, mean shelf-life estimated microbiologically was shorter than that estimated using sensory methods. This difference, which here amounted to at least 8 days, is due to the so-called "delayed change", reported in previous experiments with cooked meat products.

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