Lengths of wild, winter-run steelhead smolts, estimated by back-calculation procedures from adults' scales, were compared with observed lengths of migrating smolts sampled near the mouth of the Keogh River, Vancouver Island. Size-biased smolt-to-adult survival rates were estimated for several length categories by utilizing length frequencies from observed smolts, smolt length frequencies which were back calculated from adults' scales, smolt yield, and adult returns. Back-calculated smolt length (BSL) of adults returning from smolts of 1977 to 1982 averaged 193 mm compared to 176 mm for observed smolt length (OSL). Mean BSL was larger than OSL in every year. Adults from odd-numbered smolt years had larger BSL than adults from even-numbered smolt years similar to the pattern in OSL. BSL increased with increased years spent in salt water, based on ageing adults' scales. Males and females had different BSL based on number of years spent in fresh water and salt water, although they exhibited the same mean BSL overall. The smolt-to-adult survival estimates were in close agreement with previous estimates derived from the mean OSL. Predictability of survival in the ocean based on the length of smolts was extended over a broad range of the length distribution of wild steelhead smolts.
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