Background— In several cross-sectional analyses, circulating baseline levels of galectin-3, a protein involved in myocardial fibrosis and remodeling, have been associated with increased risk for morbidity and mortality in patients with heart failure (HF). The importance and clinical use of repeated measurements of galectin-3 have not yet been reported. Methods and Results— Plasma galectin-3 was measured at baseline and at 3 months in patients enrolled in the Controlled Rosuvastatin Multinational Trial in Heart Failure (CORONA) trial (n=1329), and at baseline and at 6 months in patients enrolled in the Coordinating Study Evaluating Outcomes of Advising and Counseling Failure (COACH) trial (n=324). Patient results were analyzed by categorical and percentage changes in galectin-3 level. A threshold value of 17.8 ng/mL or 15% change from baseline was used to categorize patients. Increasing galectin-3 levels over time, from a low to high galectin-3 category, were associated with significantly more HF hospitalization and mortality compared with stable or decreasing galectin-3 levels (hazard ratio in CORONA, 1.60; 95% confidence interval, 1.13–2.25; P =0.007; hazard ratio in COACH, 2.38; 95% confidence interval, 1.02–5.55; P =0.046). In addition, patients whose galectin-3 increased by >15% between measurements had a 50% higher relative hazard of adverse event than those whose galectin-3 stayed within ±15% of the baseline value, independent of age, sex, diabetes mellitus, left ventricular ejection fraction, renal function, medication (β-blocker, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor, and angiotensin receptor blocker), and N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (hazard ratio in CORONA, 1.50; 95% confidence interval, 1.17–1.92; P =0.001). The impact of changing galectin-3 levels on other secondary end points was comparable. Conclusions— In 2 large cohorts of patients with chronic and acute decompensated HF, repeated measurements of galectin-3 level provided important and significant prognostic value in identifying patients with HF at elevated risk for subsequent HF morbidity and mortality.

AimsBiomarkers can be used for diagnosis, risk stratification, or management of patients with heart failure (HF). Knowledge about the biological variation is needed for proper interpretation of serial measurements. Therefore, we aimed to determine and compare the biological variation of a large panel of biomarkers in healthy subjects and in patients with chronic HF.Methods and resultsThe biological variability of established biomarkers [NT‐proBNP and high‐sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT)], novel biomarkers [galectin‐3, suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (ST2), and growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF‐15)], and renal/neurohormonal biomarkers (aldosterone, phosphate, parathyroid hormone, plasma renin concentration, and creatinine) was determined in 28 healthy subjects and 83 HF patients, over a period of 4 months and 6 weeks, respectively. The analytical (CVa), intraindividual (CVi), and interindividual (CVg) variations were calculated, as well as the reference change value (RCV), which reflects the percentage of change that may indicate a ‘relevant’ change. All crude biomarker levels were significantly increased or decreased in HF patients compared with controls (all P < 0.01). Variation indices were comparable in healthy individuals and HF patients. CVi was not influenced by the individual levels of the biomarker itself. NT‐proBNP and GDF‐15 had relatively high CVi (21.8% and 16.6%) and RCV (61.7% and 64.3%), whereas ST2 (CVi, 15.0; RCV, 42.9%), hsTnT (CVi, 11.1; RCV, 31.4%), and galectin‐3 (CVi, 8.1; RCV, 25.0%) had lower indices of variation.ConclusionBiological variation indices are comparable between healthy subjects and HF patients for a broad spectrum of biomarkers. NT‐proBNP and GDF‐15 have substantial variation, with lower variation for ST2, hsTnT, and galectin‐3. These data are instrumental in proper interpretation of biomarker levels in HF patients.

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