We evaluated the effectiveness of 10-14 week nuchal translucency measurement in routine ultrasound screening for Down's syndrome, and its effect on the sensitivity of subsequent maternal serum biochemistry. This was an observational study, in which all women attending for antenatal care at a district general hospital were routinely offered a first-trimester nuchal translucency scan and second-trimester quadruple maternal serum biochemistry as screening tests for Down's syndrome. The main outcome measures were abnormal fetal karyotype and the performance of screening tests. A total of 3604 women were scanned in the first trimester of pregnancy. Excluding the cases that did not fit the entry criteria (n = 344, 9.6%) and in which nuchal translucency measurements were not possible (n = 340, 9.4%), a total of 2920 women were screened. A nuchal translucency-derived risk of 1:200 for an aneuploid pregnancy resulted in a 5% (n = 147) screen-positive rate. Screening using this risk enabled the first-trimester detection of five of seven (71%) fetuses with trisomy 21 and 14 of 18 (78%) aneuploid fetuses. Second-trimester maternal serum biochemistry testing was performed in 1904 of the women who had nuchal translucency screening, with a screen-positive rate of 7.5% (n = 143). Only one extra case of Down's syndrome would have been detected by maternal serum biochemistry testing if nuchal translucency screening had been implemented at a risk level of 1:300. This study demonstrates that first-trimester nuchal translucency measurement is effective in routine screening for fetal chromosomal abnormality. Furthermore, the implementation of a nuchal translucency screening program will significantly reduce the positive predictive value of second-trimester maternal serum biochemistry testing.
The International Myeloma Working Group has proposed the Revised International Staging System (R-ISS) for risk stratification of multiple myeloma (MM) patients. There are a limited number of studies that have validated this risk model in the autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT) setting. In this retrospective study, we evaluated the applicability and value for predicting survival of the R-ISS model in 134 MM patients treated with new agents and ASCT at the Mayo Clinic in Arizona and the University Hospital of Salamanca in Spain. The patients were reclassified at diagnosis according to the R-ISS: 44 patients (33%) had stage I, 75 (56%) had stage II, and 15 (11%) had stage III. After a median follow-up of 60 months, R-ISS assessed at diagnosis was an independent predictor for overall survival (OS) after ASCT, with median OS not reached, 111 and 37 months for R-ISS I, II and III, respectively (P < 0.001). We also found that patients belonging to R-ISS II and having high-risk chromosomal abnormalities (CA) had a significant shorter median OS than those with R-ISS II without CA: 70 vs. 111 months, respectively. Therefore, this study lends further support for the R-ISS as a reliable prognostic tool for estimating survival in transplant myeloma patients and suggests the importance of high-risk CA in the R-ISS II group.
Objective: HIV and tuberculosis (TB) are risk factors for non-communicable chronic lung disease (CLD). Despite the high prevalence of these infections in West Africa, there are no studies that compare CLD between people with HIV and HIV-negative populations in this setting. This study sought to quantify the contribution of HIV and TB infection in addition to conventional CLD risk factors, such as tobacco and biofuel exposure, to CLD in urban West Africa.Design: A multi-centre cross-sectional study was conducted in three community clinics in Lagos, Nigeria between 2018 and 2019.Methods: Spirometry, questionnaires and clinical records were used to estimate prevalence of CLD and association with risk factors.Results: In total, 148 HIV-negative individuals and 170 HIV-positive individuals completed the study. Current cigarette (11 of 318, 3.5%) and lifetime domestic biofuel (6 of 318, 1.8%) exposures were low. Airway obstruction (33 of 170, 19.4% vs. 12 of 148, 8.1%, P ¼ 0.004) and CLD (73 of 170, 42.9% vs. 34 of 148, 23%, P < 0.0001) were more prevalent in people with HIV compared with the HIV-negative group. HIV infection [odds ratio 2.35 (1.33, 4.17), P ¼ 0.003] and history of TB [odds ratio 2.09 (1.04, 4.20), P ¼ 0.038] were independently associated with increased risk of CLD. Conclusion:HIV and TB far outweigh conventional risk factors, including tobacco and domestic biofuel exposure, as drivers of non-communicable CLD in urban West Africa. Current global policy for CLD may have limited impact on CLD in this setting. Enhanced prevention, diagnosis and management strategies for incident HIV and TB infections are likely to have a significant impact on long-term lung health in sub-Saharan Africa.
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