Purpose of the paperThis research paper has two objectives. The first is to shed light on the consistency in and quality of the applied valuation models. The second objective is to analyse uniformity on important valuation input variables throughout 1994‐2002.Design/methodology/approachMore than 150 original valuation reports are retrieved and qualitatively checked on model consistency, for example on discounting methods. The impact of the inconsistencies on the end value were calculated by using a dummy discounted cash flow model (DCF). The uniformity of the input variables net yield, discount rate and exit yield are quantitatively determined: is there a decreasing standard deviation through time?FindingsThere appears to be little consistency: the Dutch appraisers use a variety of methods within the DCF method. Cash flows are discounted quarterly in advance, yearly in arrear and averaged over the year, only three of the ten most frequent used appraisers use a flexible inflation scenario, etc. These different approaches can have a large impact on the appraisal value. As for the uniformity, the standard deviation for all three variables has not decreased through time.Practical implicationsThe conclusions and recommendations of this research have been used by the valuation committee of the ROZ/IPD Netherlands Property Index to improve and extend the valuation guidelines.Originality/valueValuation models, which are the foundation of benchmarks, have never been researched on a large scale due to confidential issues. This research appears to be the first to actually analyse valuation models of many different appraisal companies in one country, The Netherlands. The participants of the ROZ/IPD Netherlands Property Index own 85 per cent of the €38 billion institutionally invested value in real estate in The Netherlands. Their policy decisions are partially based on the comparison to the Dutch benchmark. Therefore consistency and uniformity of the valuation models is critical.
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to give an overview of the sale‐and‐leaseback transactions in The Netherlands over the past ten years, and to compare the rents and yields in those transactions with what is common on the market at that moment.Design/methodology/approachThe method chosen is a straight mathematical calculation, the only possible way at this initial stage. A unique dataset provided by Vastgoedmarkt is used for this paper.FindingsOf the sale‐and‐leaseback transactions, 60 percent are concluded against a higher rent than the market rent, and contract rent for the biggest areas is on average concluded at 17.4 percent above the market rent.Research limitations/implicationsBecause of the incompleteness of the reporting of the transactions and the lack of transparency in this area, further analysis is necessary.Practical implicationsWhen entering into a sale‐and‐leaseback transaction, the seller and the buyer in particular should be much more aware of the circumstances on the market.Originality/valuePrior papers on sale‐and‐leaseback generally do not consider rents and there are almost no recent papers. This paper does focus on rents and uses data from the past ten years.
PurposeReal estate investors invest more and more cross‐border, but the valuation practices in the different countries are not similar. For investors it is good to know the difference in valuations between the countries, therefore this paper aims to investigate the valuation practices in eight different countries (France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Portugal, Russia, Spain and the UK).Design/methodology/approachTo gather the information a questionnaire was sent out. The questionnaire included questions not only about facts, but also about the respondents' opinion about the reliability of the information.FindingsIt was found that in the different countries market value is not always the basis and that a wide variation of surface measurements is currently applied. Regular lease periods and the responsibility for operating cost vary from country to country. Also the sources for market evidence and their reliability differ per country. So it can be seen that, although market values can be compared across countries, valuation methodologies are country‐specific.Research limitations/implicationsThe authors are still in the process of retrieving information and quality control, and the intention is to expand the research to all European Union countries, and finally all European countries. Therefore this paper only shows initial findings.Originality/valueThe existing research about international valuation practices is not very recent, and, because the authors not only assembled facts and processes, but also collected the respondents' opinions about the reliability of the information, the research is very valuable.
Purpose -The liquidity of direct real estate has been surrounded by mystery. Research in the USA and in the UK has contributed much to clarify the liquidity issue of direct real estate. In The Netherlands, not much research exists on this issue; however, a major ALM advisory firm in The Netherlands suggests a liquidity factor of 1.5 times the standard deviation of the ROZ/IPD real estate index, leading to a 50 percent higher risk compared to the current ROZ/IPD real estate index risk. This paper aims to investigate this issue. Design/methodology/approach -The paper investigates whether this is a reasonable assumption by approaching the issue from several perspectives. First, the transaction process, the effects of heterogeneity and the size of the property are reviewed. The market risk between the date of the decision to sell the property and the date on which it was actually sold is also reviewed. The last element reviewed is the reallocation risk, in other words missed opportunities that have arisen because it could take longer to sell property than to sell stocks or bonds. Extensive anonymous information from the main institutional investors in The Netherlands is used, as well as interviews with the main brokers in The Netherlands. The survey is placed in an international context by comparing the results as well as the methods to previous surveys in the UK. Findings -As a result suggestions are presented about risk premiums as a protection against the liquidity risks which turn out to be quite low, much lower than the 50 percent increase of the risk premium on top of the ROZ/IPD real estate index's standard deviation of the total return. The results are compared to risk premiums for stocks and bonds at times of high and average returns. Original/value -So far not many surveys have been done on this subject using the bottom up approach. If there were, those have been looked at in the literature review. The unique ROZ/IPD databank allows us to come up with real quantitative results related to the different types of real estate liquidity risks. The paper has identified five of those. The survey is restricted to results in a growing market because of the time frame and it is strongly recommended to repeat it after a depressed market.
Imagine, if you will, that each of the 50 US states is a separate country. Each has its own customs, currency, tax structure (income, sales, and import), and aviation regulations (including over-flight). Each has different forms of government and laws based on different legal systems (e.g. common law, Code Napoleon, monarchy). They each have their own language (some more than one), infrastructure, and economic systems (inclusive of banking, real property valuation and exchange, securities exchange, accounting, insurance procedures, and terminology). Each has some natural resources but none is selfsufficient. They must rely on each other and outside resources to maintain their standard of living. Some countries restrict or prohibit foreign ownership of real property or businesses. Some of the countries are ancient, like the UK, France, Sweden and Portugal, and some are more recent, as are Belgium and Italy. Some have exhibited political and economical stability over a long period, as have the UK, The Netherlands and Sweden, and some have seen radical changes, like Germany, Portugal and Spain. If you can put yourself in this setting, then you have some idea of what the international trader, investor, or appraiser of real property has faced in Europe.In earlier times, real property appraisers and the quality of their product generally matched the needs of the real estate market in which they worked [1]. Appraisers in traditionally international trading areas such as London and Amsterdam, became more sophisticated in their analysis, while those where the market was essentially internal continued with age old customs and procedures. In some countries, restrictions inhibited international investment in real estate; in others lack of economic control and market knowledge led to unbridled speculation. Overall, however, the system seemed to have been adequate until information became more accessible and cross-border trading became freer.The real property market boom of the 1980s and subsequent crashes in the 1990s were a wake-up call for the European Union (EU)[2] real estate professionals. In many cases the real property appraisers were blamed,
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