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This paper analyzes factors that drive foreign direct investment (FDI) in Africa. To do so, for the first time in the literature, the paper uses 5‐year panel data and the system‐GMM technique over the period 1970–2009. The main results are as follows: (a) larger countries attract more FDI; (b) regardless of their size, however, more open countries, politically stable countries, and countries offering higher return to investment also attract FDI; (c) FDI inflows are persistent in Africa. This suggests that countries that manage to attract FDI today are likely to attract more FDI in the future.
This paper analyses the characteristics of the recent African economic growth. The data reveal that during the period 1995–2005, Africa caught up with East Asia in terms of economic growth and investment. However, East Asia has improved its advantage on Africa in terms of GDP per capita and growth fundamentals. African economic growth rate was 2.2 percentage points higher during the period 1995–2005 compared to the period 1975–94. However, between the two periods, only primary education, exports and urbanization have significantly increased in Africa. The other growth determinants have either slightly deteriorated or remained stagnant. The results of growth regressions over the period 1995–2005 indicate that investment, private sector access to credit, government effectiveness, exports and the share of agriculture value added in GDP are significantly linked with economic growth. Thus, compared to the statistical analysis, growth regressions suggest that most of the variables which have significantly contributed to growth recovery are not those variables which have positively evolved in Africa. The good news is that African economies have grown recently without changing many growth fundamentals. The bad news is that the recent African growth recovery may not be sustainable if efforts are not focused on right growth fundamentals.
This paper empirically examines the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows on exports in Africa. Using the system‐generalised method of moments estimator for linear dynamic panel data on a sample of 53 African countries and five‐year periods from 1970 to 2009, the paper finds that higher FDI inflows are positively and significantly linked with higher exports of goods and services. A large part of the FDI effect is driven by its spillover effects on exports. The paper also finds the lagged value of exports, a competitive currency, as well as increases in domestic investment and physical infrastructure, to be factors stimulating African exports.
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